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CD Fontellas vs Cirbonero

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Fontellas play Cirbonero in the Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021. Cirbonero are favorites here. Recently, CD Fontellas averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. Cirbonero averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, CD Fontellas won 1, Cirbonero won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 27, 2021 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for CD Fontellas and 1.11 for Cirbonero. This points to a Cirbonero double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
CD Fontellas
15%
Draws
62%
Cirbonero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cirbonero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Fontellas picked up more points recently compared to Cirbonero.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
CD Fontellas Clean Sheet 21%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Fontellas Cirbonero
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 6 17
Draws 2 13
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Fontellas vs Cirbonero
0:4
Dec 20, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs CD Fontellas
5:0
Feb 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Fontellas vs Cirbonero
3:2
Oct 6, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs CD Fontellas
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Fontellas 25 / 100
Cirbonero 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Fontellas Cirbonero

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cirbonero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Cirbonero & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Fontellas attacking → ← attacking Cirbonero

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Fontellas scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Cirbonero let in goals in 63% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

CD Fontellas went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Cirbonero lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 64
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1AD San Juan2098321:935
2Beti Kozkor2096523:1833
3Valle Egues2095631:2332
4Huarte2079429:2330
5Pamplona2086628:1830
6Burlades2075822:3026
7CD Beti Onak2059626:2524
8CD Corellano2066824:2924
9Txantrea2058723:2923
10Subiza2049725:2821
11CD River Ega20351223:4314
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pena20145132:1447
2Cirbonero2088435:2132
3CD Ardoi2088426:1532
4CD Cantolagua2087528:1931
5Cortes2077618:2128
6Murchante2059619:1924
7Pena Azagresa20731024:3324
8CD Baztan2048819:2720
9CD Fontellas20621218:3720
10CD Lourdes2047918:2619
11Bidezarra20541118:2319