Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Fortuna vs Colonia Moscardo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 game between CD Fortuna and Colonia Moscardo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colonia Moscardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
CD Fortuna
28%
Draws
50%
Colonia Moscardo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Colonia Moscardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Colonia Moscardo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Colonia Moscardo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
CD Fortuna Clean Sheet 20%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Fortuna Colonia Moscardo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Fortuna vs Colonia Moscardo
0:1
Sep 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs CD Fortuna
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Fortuna 24 / 100
Colonia Moscardo 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Fortuna Colonia Moscardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Colonia Moscardo conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

CD Fortuna scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: CD Fortuna stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Colonia Moscardo
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Fortuna

(Home)
05 Sept
CD Fortuna
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
13 May
Mexico
1 : 0
CD Fortuna
06 May
CD Fortuna
1 : 2
AD Colmenar
02 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
CD Fortuna
29 Apr
CD Fortuna
1 : 4
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

Colonia Moscardo

(Away)
03 May
CF Intercity
2 : 0
Colonia Moscardo
26 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
0 : 0
Navalcarnero
14 Apr
Real Madrid C
1 : 0
Colonia Moscardo
11 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
Orihuela
05 Apr
Getafe B
0 : 2
Colonia Moscardo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CF Fuenlabrada38227960:3373
2Real Madrid C381910965:3367
3Puerta Bonita381812842:3266
4Parla3818101060:3964
5AD Colmenar3817111059:4262
6DUX Internacional de Madrid381613946:4061
7Carabanchel3816121040:3260
8Mexico3815111252:4356
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3815101347:4155
10Colonia Moscardo3813141142:3153
11Rayo Majadahonda3812161052:3852
12Union Adarve3813131232:3452
13Atl. Madrid C3812121449:5248
14Villaviciosa de Odon381381734:4847
15Trival Valderas3810161250:5246
16Atletico Pinto381291742:5345
17CD Mostoles381191838:6039
18Navalcarnero388102041:6434
19Vicalvaro38782328:6929
20CD Fortuna38472717:6019
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)