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CD Gerena vs Sanluqueno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2015/2016 game between CD Gerena and Sanluqueno finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanluqueno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
CD Gerena
30%
Draws
47%
Sanluqueno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sanluqueno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Gerena come out ahead of Sanluqueno on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CD Gerena Clean Sheet 20%
Sanluqueno Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Gerena Sanluqueno
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.23 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Gerena vs Sanluqueno
1:3
Oct 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sanluqueno vs CD Gerena
1:1
Feb 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Gerena vs Sanluqueno
2:2
Oct 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sanluqueno vs CD Gerena
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Gerena 32 / 100
Sanluqueno 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Gerena Sanluqueno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Gerena found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Sanluqueno let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Recent resilience: CD Gerena stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sanluqueno
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Gerena

(Home)
14 May
Coria C.F.
4 : 1
CD Gerena
07 May
CD Gerena
0 : 1
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Los Barrios
2 : 1
CD Gerena
23 Apr
CD Gerena
4 : 1
Castilleja CF
08 Apr
Atletico Espeleno
3 : 1
CD Gerena
Page 1 of 6

Sanluqueno

(Away)
04 Oct
Sanluqueno
2 : 2
Mijas Las Lagunas
26 Sept
Don Benito
1 : 0
Sanluqueno
20 Sept
Sevilla B
2 : 2
Sanluqueno
13 Sept
Sanluqueno
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
06 Sept
Marbella
2 : 2
Sanluqueno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cordoba B 40 27 4 9 90:42 85
2 Sanluqueno 40 23 10 7 71:34 79
3 CD San Fernando 40 21 12 7 69:30 75
4 CD Alcala 40 21 10 9 59:33 73
5 CD Gerena 40 16 13 11 65:46 61
6 AD Ceuta 40 14 16 10 47:43 58
7 Arcos CF 40 15 13 12 44:43 58
8 Sevilla C 40 13 16 11 43:44 55
9 Castilleja CF 40 15 10 15 49:54 55
10 Los Barrios 40 16 7 17 54:56 55
11 CD Guadalcacin 40 13 15 12 42:50 54
12 Ecija 40 14 10 16 58:54 52
13 CD Utrera 40 14 10 16 70:76 52
14 San Roque de Cadiz 40 12 14 14 46:52 50
15 Lebrijana 40 13 10 17 45:59 49
16 Cabecense 40 12 13 15 49:57 49
17 Coria C.F. 40 10 18 12 38:39 48
18 CMD San Juan 40 14 6 20 42:53 48
19 Conil 40 10 9 21 41:65 39
20 Rotena 40 9 9 22 43:73 36
21 Ciudad de Lucena 40 2 7 31 19:81 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)