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CD Gouveia vs GD Resende

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Sena Miguel
51' Event
Mendes Brito E. J.
72' Event
Pessoa J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
CD Gouveia
20%
Draws
58%
GD Resende
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: GD Resende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • GD Resende have won more games recently than CD Gouveia.
  • Model gives GD Resende a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CD Gouveia Clean Sheet 16%
GD Resende Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Gouveia GD Resende
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 0.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
CD Gouveia vs GD Resende
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Resende vs CD Gouveia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Gouveia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sena Miguel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pessoa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

GD Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendes Brito E. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Gouveia 19 / 100
GD Resende 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Gouveia GD Resende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Resende Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

GD Resende has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

CD Gouveia's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: CD Gouveia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Gouveia VS GD Resende
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Gouveia

(Home)
18 Apr
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Beira Mar
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1
CD Gouveia
04 Apr
CD Gouveia
3 : 2
Vila Mea
22 Mar
CD Gouveia
0 : 2
Uniao Lamas
15 Mar
FC Alpendorada
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
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GD Resende

(Away)
18 Apr
FC Alpendorada
3 : 4
GD Resende
12 Apr
GD Resende
0 : 2
Cinfaes
04 Apr
Florgrade
1 : 1
GD Resende
22 Mar
GD Resende
1 : 1
Leca
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)