Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Gouveia vs Leca

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Muale Nzanza D.
22' Event
Balde F.
(Penalty)
86' Event
Fortes F.

AI Match Summary

Leca in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
CD Gouveia
15%
Draws
59%
Leca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Leca have won more games recently than CD Gouveia.
  • Leca are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Leca have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CD Gouveia Clean Sheet 10%
Leca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Gouveia Leca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 16
Draws 4 9
Losses 24 5
Goals Scored 0.8 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
CD Gouveia vs Leca
0:3
Oct 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs CD Gouveia
3:0
Mar 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
CD Gouveia vs Leca
1:1
Dec 12, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Leca vs CD Gouveia
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Gouveia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Leca Compare

Top Goalscorer Muale Nzanza D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fortes F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Gouveia 26 / 100
Leca 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Gouveia Leca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Leca conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CD Gouveia found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Gouveia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Gouveia VS Leca
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Gouveia

(Home)
18 Apr
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Beira Mar
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1
CD Gouveia
04 Apr
CD Gouveia
3 : 2
Vila Mea
22 Mar
CD Gouveia
0 : 2
Uniao Lamas
15 Mar
FC Alpendorada
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
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Leca

(Away)
12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4
Leca
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)