Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Gouveia vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022 game between CD Gouveia and Santa Cruz Alvarenga finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz Alvarenga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CD Gouveia
30%
Draws
34%
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Gouveia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Cruz Alvarenga come out ahead of CD Gouveia on wins alone.
  • Model gives CD Gouveia a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Santa Cruz Alvarenga have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CD Gouveia Clean Sheet 16%
Santa Cruz Alvarenga Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Gouveia Santa Cruz Alvarenga
Matches Played 35 26
Wins 2 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 28 14
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
CD Gouveia vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1:2
Nov 28, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Santa Cruz Alvarenga vs CD Gouveia
0:0
Sep 11, 2021 Taça de Portugal
Santa Cruz Alvarenga vs CD Gouveia
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Gouveia 36 / 100
Santa Cruz Alvarenga 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Gouveia Santa Cruz Alvarenga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santa Cruz Alvarenga conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.

Santa Cruz Alvarenga's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: CD Gouveia scored in 46% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Gouveia VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Salgueiros18134129:1443
2Leca18123336:1539
3Gondomar18103534:1933
4Castro Daire1895425:1532
5SC Espinho1885524:1329
6Santa Cruz Alvarenga1855813:1620
7Valadares Gaia FC1855822:2020
8Uniao de Coimbra18441017:2916
9Ferreira de Aves1833126:3512
10CD Gouveia1813148:386