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Stadium Background

CD Guadalajara B vs CD Tarancon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Munoz J.
13' Event
Junior P.
27' Event
Roman M.

AI Match Summary

CD Tarancon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Tarancon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
CD Guadalajara B
30%
Draws
54%
CD Tarancon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Tarancon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Tarancon have won more games recently than CD Guadalajara B.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on CD Tarancon taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors CD Tarancon here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
CD Guadalajara B Clean Sheet 13%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Guadalajara B CD Tarancon
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Guadalajara B vs CD Tarancon
2:6
Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs CD Guadalajara B
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Guadalajara B vs CD Tarancon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Guadalajara B Compare

Top Goalscorer Roman M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anes A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

CD Tarancon Compare

Top Goalscorer Fizesan M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cabellud I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Guadalajara B 11 / 100
CD Tarancon 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Guadalajara B CD Tarancon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tarancon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

CD Tarancon has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

CD Guadalajara B's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CD Guadalajara B has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Guadalajara B VS CD Tarancon
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Guadalajara B

(Home)
04 Oct
Socuellamos
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6
CD Tarancon
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
12 Sept
CD Villa
1 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
05 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1
Torrijos
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CD Tarancon

(Away)
03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Tarancon
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6
CD Tarancon
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
CD Villa
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 5 5 0 0 8:2 15
2 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
3 Illescas 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
7 Marchamalo 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
8 CD Tarancon 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 UD Almansa 5 2 1 2 8:5 7
10 Villacanas 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
11 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 San Clemente 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
13 Socuellamos 5 0 4 1 3:5 4
14 La Solana 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
15 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
16 CD Guadalajara B 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
17 Quintanar del Rey 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
18 Huracan de Balazote 5 0 0 5 4:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)