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CD Guadalcacin vs AD Ceuta

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2018/2019 game between CD Guadalcacin and AD Ceuta finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Ceuta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CD Guadalcacin
15%
Draws
85%
AD Ceuta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Ceuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Ceuta come out ahead of CD Guadalcacin on wins alone.
  • CD Guadalcacin are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CD Guadalcacin Clean Sheet 20%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Guadalcacin AD Ceuta
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 4 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0.56 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Guadalcacin vs AD Ceuta
1:5
Oct 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs CD Guadalcacin
3:0
May 6, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs CD Guadalcacin
4:0
Dec 20, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Guadalcacin vs AD Ceuta
0:0
Mar 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Guadalcacin vs AD Ceuta
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Guadalcacin 36 / 100
AD Ceuta 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Guadalcacin AD Ceuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: AD Ceuta registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

AD Ceuta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 38 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: CD Guadalcacin scored in 41% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Ceuta
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Guadalcacin

(Home)
17 Aug
CD Guadalcacin
1 : 4
Antoniano
19 May
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 1
Ecija
11 May
Los Barrios
7 : 1
CD Guadalcacin
05 May
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 1
Cadiz B
28 Apr
Xerez CD
3 : 0
CD Guadalcacin
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AD Ceuta

(Away)
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Celta Vigo B
30 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0
AD Ceuta
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Las Palmas
15 Aug
FC Andorra
5 : 1
AD Ceuta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cadiz B 42 23 14 5 48:18 83
2 AD Ceuta 42 24 8 10 68:42 80
3 CD Utrera 42 22 13 7 59:29 79
4 Algeciras 42 22 11 9 64:35 77
5 Xerez Deportivo FC 42 20 17 5 49:24 77
6 Betis B 42 23 7 12 93:40 76
7 Los Barrios 42 21 13 8 64:43 76
8 Cordoba B 42 19 14 9 67:39 71
9 Ciudad de Lucena 42 16 10 16 56:53 58
10 Xerez CD 42 13 18 11 45:42 57
11 Puente Genil 42 12 19 11 52:49 55
12 Lebrijana 42 14 10 18 47:65 52
13 Coria C.F. 42 13 12 17 53:52 51
14 Inter Sevilla 42 13 11 18 43:68 50
15 Sevilla C 42 14 8 20 39:49 50
16 San Roque de Lepe 42 13 10 19 52:61 49
17 Conil 42 11 16 15 47:55 49
18 Arcos CF 42 13 10 19 45:53 49
19 Ecija 42 13 9 20 37:48 48
20 Cabecense 42 7 9 26 39:80 30
21 Atletico Espeleno 42 7 8 27 45:91 29
22 CD Guadalcacin 42 3 5 34 21:97 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)