Sport Picks
CD Guadalcacin vs CD Gerena
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 10 2015/2016 
AI Match Summary
CD Gerena in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Gerena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Gerena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- CD Gerena have won more games recently than CD Guadalcacin.
- CD Gerena are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CD Guadalcacin Clean Sheet 15%
CD Gerena Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Guadalcacin | CD Gerena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 24 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.48 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.52 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Guadalcacin vs CD Gerena
1:1
Sep 25, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Gerena vs CD Guadalcacin
3:0
Apr 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Guadalcacin vs CD Gerena
2:3
Nov 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Gerena vs CD Guadalcacin
2:3
Mar 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Guadalcacin vs CD Gerena
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Guadalcacin 10 / 100
CD Gerena 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Guadalcacin CD Gerena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Gerena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: CD Gerena conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Difficult form: CD Gerena registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: CD Guadalcacin scored in 39% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
CD Guadalcacin VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Guadalcacin
(Home) 17 Aug
CD Guadalcacin
1 : 4 Antoniano
19 May
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 1 Ecija
11 May
Los Barrios
7 : 1 CD Guadalcacin
05 May
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 1 Cadiz B
28 Apr
Xerez CD
3 : 0 CD Guadalcacin
Page 1 of 7
17 Aug
CD Guadalcacin
1 : 4 Antoniano
19 May
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 1 Ecija
05 May
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 1 Cadiz B
14 Apr
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 0 Atletico Espeleno
31 Mar
CD Guadalcacin
3 : 2 Betis B
Page 1 of 4
CD Gerena
(Away) 14 May
Coria C.F.
4 : 1 CD Gerena
07 May
CD Gerena
0 : 1 CD Alcala
28 Apr
Los Barrios
2 : 1 CD Gerena
23 Apr
CD Gerena
4 : 1 Castilleja CF
08 Apr
Atletico Espeleno
3 : 1 CD Gerena
Page 1 of 6
14 May
Coria C.F.
4 : 1 CD Gerena
28 Apr
Los Barrios
2 : 1 CD Gerena
08 Apr
Atletico Espeleno
3 : 1 CD Gerena
26 Mar
San Roque de Cadiz
0 : 1 CD Gerena
12 Mar
AD Ceuta
1 : 0 CD Gerena
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cordoba B | 40 | 27 | 4 | 9 | 90:42 | 85 |
| 2 | Sanluqueno | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 71:34 | 79 |
| 3 | CD San Fernando | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 69:30 | 75 |
| 4 | CD Alcala | 40 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 59:33 | 73 |
| 5 | CD Gerena | 40 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 65:46 | 61 |
| 6 | AD Ceuta | 40 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 47:43 | 58 |
| 7 | Arcos CF | 40 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 44:43 | 58 |
| 8 | Sevilla C | 40 | 13 | 16 | 11 | 43:44 | 55 |
| 9 | Castilleja CF | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 49:54 | 55 |
| 10 | Los Barrios | 40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 54:56 | 55 |
| 11 | CD Guadalcacin | 40 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 42:50 | 54 |
| 12 | Ecija | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 58:54 | 52 |
| 13 | CD Utrera | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 70:76 | 52 |
| 14 | San Roque de Cadiz | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 46:52 | 50 |
| 15 | Lebrijana | 40 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 45:59 | 49 |
| 16 | Cabecense | 40 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 49 |
| 17 | Coria C.F. | 40 | 10 | 18 | 12 | 38:39 | 48 |
| 18 | CMD San Juan | 40 | 14 | 6 | 20 | 42:53 | 48 |
| 19 | Conil | 40 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 41:65 | 39 |
| 20 | Rotena | 40 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 43:73 | 36 |
| 21 | Ciudad de Lucena | 40 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 19:81 | 13 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
