Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2018/2019

Xerez Deportivo FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Guadalcacin play Xerez Deportivo FC in the Tercera Division - Group 10 2018/2019. Xerez Deportivo FC are favorites here. Recently, CD Guadalcacin averaged 0.47 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. Xerez Deportivo FC averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, CD Guadalcacin won 0, Xerez Deportivo FC won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 17, 2019 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for CD Guadalcacin and 1.11 for Xerez Deportivo FC. This points to a Xerez Deportivo FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

CD Guadalcacin

16%

Draws

69%

Xerez Deportivo FC

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Xerez Deportivo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

CD Guadalcacin picked up more points recently compared to Xerez Deportivo FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

CD Guadalcacin Clean Sheet 21%

Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Guadalcacin	Xerez Deportivo FC
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	2	9
Draws	4	10
Losses	24	12
Goals Scored	0.47	1.03
Goals Conceded	2.57	1.16

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

CD Guadalcacin vs Xerez Deportivo FC

Possession: 59% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Oct 12, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Xerez Deportivo FC vs CD Guadalcacin

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Aug 31, 2016 Club Friendly

CD Guadalcacin vs Xerez Deportivo FC

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Guadalcacin 18 / 100

Xerez Deportivo FC 64 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Guadalcacin Xerez Deportivo FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xerez Deportivo FC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Xerez Deportivo FC & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Guadalcacin attacking → ← attacking Xerez Deportivo FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Guadalcacin scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Xerez Deportivo FC let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CD Guadalcacin went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Xerez Deportivo FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 37

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cadiz B	42	23	14	5	48:18	83
2	AD Ceuta	42	24	8	10	68:42	80
3	CD Utrera	42	22	13	7	59:29	79
4	Algeciras	42	22	11	9	64:35	77
5	Xerez Deportivo FC	42	20	17	5	49:24	77
6	Betis B	42	23	7	12	93:40	76
7	Los Barrios	42	21	13	8	64:43	76
8	Cordoba B	42	19	14	9	67:39	71
9	Ciudad de Lucena	42	16	10	16	56:53	58
10	Xerez CD	42	13	18	11	45:42	57
11	Puente Genil	42	12	19	11	52:49	55
12	Lebrijana	42	14	10	18	47:65	52
13	Coria C.F.	42	13	12	17	53:52	51
14	Inter Sevilla	42	13	11	18	43:68	50
15	Sevilla C	42	14	8	20	39:49	50
16	San Roque de Lepe	42	13	10	19	52:61	49
17	Conil	42	11	16	15	47:55	49
18	Arcos CF	42	13	10	19	45:53	49
19	Ecija	42	13	9	20	37:48	48
20	Cabecense	42	7	9	26	39:80	30
21	Atletico Espeleno	42	7	8	27	45:91	29
22	CD Guadalcacin	42	3	5	34	21:97	14