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CD Ingenio vs Chaco FC

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

The Copa Simon Bolivar game between CD Ingenio and Chaco FC finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Ingenio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
CD Ingenio
17%
Draws
13%
Chaco FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: CD Ingenio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Ingenio come out ahead of Chaco FC on wins alone.
  • CD Ingenio are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 86.2%
CD Ingenio Clean Sheet 12%
Chaco FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ingenio Chaco FC
Matches Played 8 6
Wins 2 0
Draws 3 3
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 1.63 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.25 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Chaco FC vs CD Ingenio
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
CD Ingenio vs Chaco FC
4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ingenio 65 / 100
Chaco FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ingenio Chaco FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ING Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ingenio scored in 88% of their last 8 games.

Chaco FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 6 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CD Ingenio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Ingenio VS Chaco FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.17
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz650118:515
2Rio San Juan641111:613
3Fancesa621316:137
4C.A. Chocorosi60063:240
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
11 de Mayo650111:215
2CD Guadalajara63037:89
3Central Union62048:96
4Ingenieros62045:126
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi632110:511
2Torre Fuerte63039:99
3Nueva Cliza62317:79
4Nacional Sucre61147:124
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Juan FC632112:511
2Olympic FC62319:39
3CD Ingenio62229:118
4Chaco FC60337:183
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Sucre660026:518
2Deportivo Shalon620419:126
3Libertad FC62046:146
43 de Febrero62046:266
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tiquipaya651018:516
2Municipal de Tarija631216:910
3Pucarani630311:69
4Universitario de Pando60066:310