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CD Laguna vs UD Playas de Sotavento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Laguna host UD Playas de Sotavento in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. CD Laguna go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: CD Laguna at 1.39 goals for, 1.57 against; UD Playas de Sotavento at 0.8 for, 3.4 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.91 - 1.28) back CD Laguna to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CD Laguna
20%
Draws
40%
UD Playas de Sotavento
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Laguna lately — more wins on the board than UD Playas de Sotavento.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on CD Laguna taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CD Laguna Clean Sheet 19%
UD Playas de Sotavento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Laguna UD Playas de Sotavento
Matches Played 28 5
Wins 10 0
Draws 7 1
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.39 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.57 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.91 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Laguna 85 / 100
UD Playas de Sotavento 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Laguna UD Playas de Sotavento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Laguna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: UD Playas de Sotavento conceded in 100% of 5 recent games.

CD Laguna's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Difficult form: UD Playas de Sotavento registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

CD Laguna went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Laguna VS UD Playas de Sotavento
1.38 Goals Scored 0.57
2 Goals Conceded 2.43
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Laguna

(Home)
02 Oct
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
CD Laguna
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2
CD Marino
19 Sept
Los Llanos
2 : 1
CD Laguna
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3
UD San Fernando
10 Sept
CD Laguna
1 : 2
Toledo
Page 1 of 6

UD Playas de Sotavento

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Marino
6 : 1
UD Playas de Sotavento
26 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
2 : 2
Los Llanos
20 Sept
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
UD Playas de Sotavento
12 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 2
Las Palmas C
09 Oct
Gevora
2 : 1
UD Playas de Sotavento

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
2 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
3 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
4 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
5 CD Marino 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
6 Las Palmas C 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 San Miguel 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
8 Panaderia 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
9 Los Llanos 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
11 Villa Santa Brigida 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Tenerife C 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Estrella 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Anaza 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
15 Union Sur Yaiza 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
16 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
17 Villaverde Norte 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)