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CD Lajense vs Maria de Fonte Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Araujo J.
90'
Lopes J.
90'
Lopes J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Maria de Fonte advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CD Lajense
25%
Draws
35%
Maria de Fonte
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: CD Lajense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maria de Fonte come out ahead of CD Lajense on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Maria de Fonte arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Maria de Fonte, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CD Lajense Clean Sheet 10%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Lajense Maria de Fonte
Matches Played 2 30
Wins 0 9
Draws 0 3
Losses 2 18
Goals Scored 0.5 1.07
Goals Conceded 4 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 Taça de Portugal
CD Lajense vs Maria de Fonte
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Lajense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Maria de Fonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Lajense 29 / 100
Maria de Fonte 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Lajense Maria de Fonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Lajense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maria de Fonte has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Maria de Fonte has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

CD Lajense found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (2 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CD Lajense VS Maria de Fonte
0.5 Goals Scored 1
4 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Lajense

(Home)
06 Sept
CD Lajense
1 : 7
Lusitano GC
21 Sept
CD Lajense
0 : 1
Maria de Fonte

Maria de Fonte

(Away)
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1
Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
06 Sept
Brito
2 : 1
Maria de Fonte
30 Aug
Maria de Fonte
1 : 0
Uniao Nogueirense
23 Aug
Maria de Fonte
0 : 1
Celoricense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Varzim -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferreiras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Leca 2
AD Marco 09 3
TBD -
O Elvas CAD -
Academica 2
SB Castelo Branco 0
TBD -
Torreense -
GD Peniche -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Camacha -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiria -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Marinhense -
TBD -
Caldas SC 1
Uniao Da Serra 0
Tirsense -
TBD -
Vieira 2
Pedras Salgadas 0
Brito 2
Maia Lidador 1
Abrantes Benfica 0
Operario 2
Moura AC 1
Portel 0
TBD -
Castrense -
Covilha -
TBD -
Pedrogao Sao Pedro 1
SC Pombal 3
Moncarapachense 3
Grandolense 0
Louletano 3
Esperanca de Lagos 0
Os Marialvas -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Rebordosa 3
Juventude Gaula 0
TBD -
GD Braganca -
CD Lajense -
TBD -
Maria de Fonte 2
Cardielense 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Fatima -
TBD -
Figueirense 0
Sanjoanense 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Farense -
Pevidem -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Vila Cortez 2
Anadia 4
TBD -
CD Rabo Peixe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Guarda FC 5
Estarreja 4
TBD -
Leixoes -
Alcains -
TBD -
C.F. Benfica 4
Industria 3
1º Dezembro -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Lusitano GC -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Ferreira do Zezere 2
Ac. Fundao 0
TBD -
Os Sandinenses -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFS -
CF Os Gavionenses 0
Arronches Benfica 3
SC Vila Real 1
GD Joane 0
Academica Coimbra SF -
TBD -
TBD -
Atletico Arcos -
Viana Alentejo 1
CF Os Belenenses 2
TBD -
Trofense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Santarem 2
Sacavenense 0
TBD -
Desportivo Moncao -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Sintrense -
TBD -
FC Madalena 0
Estrela Vendas Novas 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
SC Vianense 2
Vinhais 1
TBD -
Portimonense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Electrico FC -
TBD -
AD Fafe 1
Amarante FC 4
Lajense -
TBD -
TBD -
Fabril do Barreiro -
Lagoa -
TBD -
Uniao de Coimbra 3
Beira Mar 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Gondomar -
TBD -
Alianca de Gandra 2
SC Salgueiros 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Amora -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Felgueiras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Valpacos 3
AD Limianos 5
TBD -
Chaves -
Lusitania FC 2
Uniao Lamas 1
TBD -
Vizela -
Coimbroes -
TBD -
TBD -
Alverca -
Pero Pinheiro -
TBD -
TBD -
Feirense -
Atletico CP -
TBD -
Oliveira de Frades 0
Mortagua FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Oliveira Hospital -
TBD -
Machico 3
Macedo de Cavaleiros 0
Montijo -
TBD -
TBD -
Mafra -
FC Alpendorada -
TBD -
Vieirense 1
Sertanense 4
Cinfaes 3
GD Resende 0
TBD -
FC Barreirense -
Tocha -
TBD -
TBD -
Penafiel -
Sao Roque 1
SC Lusitania 2
Velense 1
Regua 2
UD Ovarense 1
Sao Joao de Ver 2
Praia Milfontes 0
Serpa 5
Paredes -
TBD -
Dumiense 2
Vilaverdense FC 3
1/64-finals
Varzim 3
Ferreiras 0
TBD -
Boavista -
AD Marco 09 0
O Elvas CAD 1
Academica 0
Torreense 1
GD Peniche 0
Pacos Ferreira 2
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Camacha 0
Leiria 2
TBD -
Nacional -
Marinhense 0
Caldas SC 1
Tirsense 2
Vieira 0
Brito 1
Operario 0
Moura AC 4
Castrense 2
Covilha 4
SC Pombal 0
Moncarapachense 2
Louletano 1
Os Marialvas 2
Tondela 1
Rebordosa 2
GD Braganca 1
CD Lajense 0
Maria de Fonte 1
TBD -
Arouca -
Fatima 0
Sanjoanense 1
TBD -
SC Farense -
Pevidem 2
Maritimo 1
TBD -
Benfica -
Anadia 3
CD Rabo Peixe 0
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Guarda FC 0
Leixoes 1
Alcains 4
C.F. Benfica 1
1º Dezembro 2
Oliveirense 1
TBD -
Braga -
Lusitano GC 2
Academico Viseu 1
TBD -
Estoril -
Ferreira do Zezere 1
Os Sandinenses 2
TBD -
AFS -
Arronches Benfica 0
SC Vila Real 1
Academica Coimbra SF 1
Atletico Arcos 2
CF Os Belenenses 3
Trofense 0
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Santarem 2
Desportivo Moncao 1
TBD -
Moreirense -
Sintrense 2
Estrela Vendas Novas 1
TBD -
FC Porto -
SC Vianense 1
Portimonense 3
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Electrico FC 0
Amarante FC 2
Lajense 2
Fabril do Barreiro 1
Lagoa 2
Uniao de Coimbra 0
TBD -
Famalicao -
Gondomar 1
Alianca de Gandra 0
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Amora 1
FC Felgueiras 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
AD Limianos 0
Chaves 2
Lusitania FC 4
Vizela 3
Coimbroes 2
Alverca 3
Pero Pinheiro 1
Feirense 0
Atletico CP 3
Mortagua FC 0
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Oliveira Hospital 2
Machico 0
Montijo 1
Mafra 2
FC Alpendorada 3
Sertanense 0
Cinfaes 3
FC Barreirense 2
Tocha 1
Penafiel 4
SC Lusitania 2
Regua 1
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Serpa 0
Paredes 3
Vilaverdense FC 2
1/32-finals
Varzim 1
Boavista 0
O Elvas CAD 3
Torreense 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Leiria 2
Nacional 1
Caldas SC 1
Tirsense 2
Brito 1
Moura AC 0
Covilha 3
Moncarapachense 2
Os Marialvas 1
Rebordosa 2
Maria de Fonte 0
Arouca 5
Sanjoanense 2
SC Farense 4
Pevidem 0
Benfica 2
Anadia 1
Estrela da Amadora 3
Leixoes 2
Alcains 1
1º Dezembro 1
Braga 2
Lusitano GC 1
Estoril 0
Os Sandinenses 0
AFS 2
SC Vila Real 2
Atletico Arcos 0
CF Os Belenenses 0
Gil Vicente 2
Santarem 1
Moreirense 2
Sintrense 0
FC Porto 3
Portimonense 1
Sporting CP 2
Amarante FC 6
Lajense 1
Lagoa 0
Famalicao 2
Gondomar 0
Santa Clara 1
Amora 0
Casa Pia 5
Chaves 2
Lusitania FC 0
Alverca 3
Pero Pinheiro 0
Atletico CP 1
Rio Ave 3
Oliveira Hospital 1
Mafra 0
FC Alpendorada 1
Cinfaes 2
Penafiel 2
SC Lusitania 3
Sao Joao de Ver 4
Paredes 1
1/16-finals
Varzim 1
O Elvas CAD 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Leiria 0
Tirsense 1
Brito 0
Covilha 2
Rebordosa 3
Arouca 1
SC Farense 2
Benfica 7
Estrela da Amadora 0
Leixoes 0
Braga 2
Lusitano GC 3
AFS 2
SC Vila Real 0
Gil Vicente 2
Moreirense 2
FC Porto 1
Sporting CP 6
Amarante FC 0
Famalicao 0
Santa Clara 1
Casa Pia 3
Chaves 0
Alverca 2
Rio Ave 3
Oliveira Hospital 4
Cinfaes 2
SC Lusitania 0
Sao Joao de Ver 2
1/8-finals
O Elvas CAD 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Tirsense 1
Rebordosa 0
SC Farense 1
Benfica 3
Braga 2
Lusitano GC 1
Gil Vicente 1
Moreirense 0
Sporting CP 2
Santa Clara 1
Casa Pia 1
Rio Ave 3
Oliveira Hospital 1
Sao Joao de Ver 3
Quarter-finals
O Elvas CAD 0
Tirsense 2
Benfica 1
Braga 0
Gil Vicente 0
Sporting CP 1
Rio Ave 2
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Semi-finals
Tirsense 0
Benfica 9
Sporting CP 4
Rio Ave 1
Final
Benfica 1
Sporting CP 3