Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Laredo vs Ourense CF

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Torre I.
Own Goal
21' Event
Vazquez K.
(Penalty)
47' Event
Prado M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Ourense CF advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
CD Laredo
15%
Draws
51%
Ourense CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ourense CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Laredo come out ahead of Ourense CF on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • CD Laredo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ourense CF, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ourense CF have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
CD Laredo Clean Sheet 21%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Laredo Ourense CF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.55 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Copa Federacion
CD Laredo vs Ourense CF
1:5
May 14, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs CD Laredo
1:1
Jan 15, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
CD Laredo vs Ourense CF
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Laredo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ourense CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Prado M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouhdadi O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Laredo 37 / 100
Ourense CF 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Laredo Ourense CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ourense CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ourense CF let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

CD Laredo scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Difficult form: Ourense CF registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Laredo VS Ourense CF
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Laredo

(Home)
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
27 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Rayo Cantabria
22 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 0
Arenas Getxo
18 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
15 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 1
Palencia CA
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Ourense CF

(Away)
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
21 Aug
Lugo
1 : 0
Ourense CF
15 Aug
Pontevedra
2 : 1
Ourense CF
23 May
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Tenerife
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Tudelano 0
Formentera 1
SD Ibiza 0
Terrassa 4
Atletico Monzon 0
SD Ejea 2
UE Tona 0
Bergantinos 4
Marino De Luanco 2
Estradense 2
Covadonga 1
CD Laredo 1
Ourense CF 5
Zamora 4
Amorebieta 1
Varea 2
Moralo 0
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Alfaro 0
Laguna Tenerife 1
Toledo 2
Jaraiz 2
CD Coria 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Melilla 0
Molinense 2
Xerez CD 0
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
Orihuela 5
Huetor Tajar 2
Bollullos 1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 6
Formentera 1
Terrassa 0
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 2
Estradense 1
Ourense CF 2
Zamora 1
Varea 1
San Sebastian Reyes 2
Toledo 1
CD Coria 0
Deportiva Minera 3
Molinense 0
Orihuela 3
Huetor Tajar 0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 2
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 0
Ourense CF 2
San Sebastian Reyes 0
Toledo 1
Deportiva Minera 0
Orihuela 1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 3
Ourense CF 4
Toledo 2
Orihuela 4
Final
Ourense CF 3
Orihuela 0