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CD Laredo vs UM Escobedo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Sat, May 23, 2026
3 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Cabrera F.
88'
Sanchez F.
88'
Sanchez F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with CD Laredo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
CD Laredo
20%
Draws
15%
UM Escobedo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Laredo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • UM Escobedo haven't matched CD Laredo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CD Laredo a 65% chance of winning this.
  • CD Laredo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Laredo, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors CD Laredo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
CD Laredo Clean Sheet 68%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Laredo UM Escobedo
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 23 17
Draws 10 3
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.71 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Laredo vs UM Escobedo
2:0
May 23, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Laredo vs UM Escobedo
3:1
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs CD Laredo
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs CD Laredo
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Laredo vs UM Escobedo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Laredo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gning E. H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cabrera F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

UM Escobedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Laredo 95 / 100
UM Escobedo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Laredo UM Escobedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Laredo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Laredo scored in 82% of their last 38 outings.

UM Escobedo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: CD Laredo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Laredo VS UM Escobedo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Laredo

(Home)
20 Sept
CD Laredo
2 : 0
UM Escobedo
12 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2
CD Laredo
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
27 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Rayo Cantabria
22 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 0
Arenas Getxo
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UM Escobedo

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Laredo
2 : 0
UM Escobedo
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1
UM Escobedo
23 May
CD Laredo
3 : 1
UM Escobedo
17 May
UM Escobedo
0 : 0
CD Laredo
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
CD Laredo 3
UM Escobedo 1
CD Tropezon 3
Guarnizo 0
Final
CD Laredo 0
CD Tropezon 1