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CD Las Rozas vs Mexico

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Diaz Hervas J.
64' Event
Martin Bartolome D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
CD Las Rozas
35%
Draws
28%
Mexico
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Las Rozas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CD Las Rozas at 1.4 per game, Mexico at 1.28.
  • Win probability leans CD Las Rozas's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
CD Las Rozas Clean Sheet 68%
Mexico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Las Rozas Mexico
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.4 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Mexico
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs CD Las Rozas
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs CD Las Rozas
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Mexico
1:1
Mar 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs CD Las Rozas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Las Rozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz Hervas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Mexico Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin Bartolome D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Las Rozas 68 / 100
Mexico 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Las Rozas Mexico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Las Rozas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Las Rozas found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Mexico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CD Las Rozas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Las Rozas VS Mexico
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Las Rozas

(Home)
05 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 3
CD Las Rozas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
31 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
24 May
AD Torrejon
0 : 3
CD Las Rozas
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Mexico

(Away)
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0
CF Fuenlabrada
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2
Mexico
03 May
Mexico
0 : 2
Trival Valderas
26 Apr
AD Torrejon
3 : 3
Mexico
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)