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CD Llosa vs Denia

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013 game between CD Llosa and Denia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
CD Llosa
35%
Draws
49%
Denia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Denia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Denia come out ahead of CD Llosa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Denia's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CD Llosa Clean Sheet 12%
Denia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Llosa Denia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 11 10
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.69 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
CD Llosa vs Denia
1:1
Jan 6, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Denia vs CD Llosa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Llosa 19 / 100
Denia 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Llosa Denia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

CD Llosa found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: CD Llosa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Llosa VS Denia
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Llosa

(Home)
11 May
Atletico Saguntino
1 : 1
CD Llosa
04 May
CD Llosa
2 : 2
Borriol
27 Apr
Eldense
5 : 0
CD Llosa
20 Apr
CD Llosa
0 : 2
Novelda CF
13 Apr
Espanol de San Vicente
1 : 0
CD Llosa
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Denia

(Away)
17 Aug
Denia
2 : 1
Levante B
18 May
CD Llosa
1 : 1
Denia
12 May
Denia
0 : 0
Ilicitano
05 May
Borriol
2 : 0
Denia
01 May
Denia
1 : 1
La Nucia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilicitano 40 20 11 9 48:28 71
2 Novelda CF 40 21 8 11 50:37 71
3 Alzira 40 21 6 13 50:39 69
4 Castellon 40 18 14 8 58:29 68
5 La Nucia 40 16 14 10 47:36 62
6 Muro 40 17 8 15 53:47 59
7 Villarreal C 40 16 11 13 53:50 59
8 Borriol 40 14 15 11 52:39 57
9 Utiel 40 15 11 14 44:40 56
10 Eldense 40 12 17 11 45:39 53
11 Atletico Saguntino 40 15 8 17 36:46 53
12 Torrevieja 40 13 13 14 45:42 52
13 Espanol de San Vicente 40 13 11 16 44:48 50
14 CD Llosa 40 12 14 14 44:46 50
15 Gandia 40 13 11 16 36:39 50
16 Ribarroja 40 12 12 16 35:46 48
17 Acero 40 12 12 16 49:59 48
18 Burriana 40 12 11 17 40:57 47
19 Crevillente 40 10 15 15 41:52 45
20 Denia 40 10 12 18 43:56 42
21 Catarroja CF 40 6 10 24 29:67 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)