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CD Lourdes vs CD Cantolagua

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Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 game between CD Lourdes and CD Cantolagua finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Cantolagua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CD Lourdes
15%
Draws
49%
CD Cantolagua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Cantolagua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • CD Lourdes's 1.03 goals per match outpaces what CD Cantolagua have produced (0.97).
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on CD Lourdes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
CD Lourdes Clean Sheet 16%
CD Cantolagua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Lourdes CD Cantolagua
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Lourdes vs CD Cantolagua
1:3
Dec 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs CD Lourdes
2:0
Feb 11, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Lourdes vs CD Cantolagua
2:1
Sep 25, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs CD Lourdes
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Lourdes 66 / 100
CD Cantolagua 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Lourdes CD Cantolagua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Lourdes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Cantolagua conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

CD Lourdes found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

CD Cantolagua's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Lourdes VS CD Cantolagua
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Lourdes

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Lourdes
1 : 3
CD Sant Jordi
27 Sept
CD Sant Jordi
1 : 0
CD Lourdes
26 Jun
CD Lourdes
4 : 1
Txantrea
19 Jun
Subiza
1 : 0
CD Lourdes
12 Jun
CD Lourdes
2 : 3
CD River Ega
Page 1 of 6

CD Cantolagua

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Cantolagua
0 : 3
Valle Egues
19 Sept
Gazte Berriak
1 : 0
CD Cantolagua
10 Sept
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1
Huarte
06 Sept
Doneztebe FT
6 : 0
CD Cantolagua
10 May
CD Cantolagua
3 : 3
Pamplona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD San Juan 20 9 8 3 21:9 35
2 Beti Kozkor 20 9 6 5 23:18 33
3 Valle Egues 20 9 5 6 31:23 32
4 Huarte 20 7 9 4 29:23 30
5 Pamplona 20 8 6 6 28:18 30
6 Burlades 20 7 5 8 22:30 26
7 CD Beti Onak 20 5 9 6 26:25 24
8 CD Corellano 20 6 6 8 24:29 24
9 Txantrea 20 5 8 7 23:29 23
10 Subiza 20 4 9 7 25:28 21
11 CD River Ega 20 3 5 12 23:43 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 20 14 5 1 32:14 47
2 Cirbonero 20 8 8 4 35:21 32
3 CD Ardoi 20 8 8 4 26:15 32
4 CD Cantolagua 20 8 7 5 28:19 31
5 Cortes 20 7 7 6 18:21 28
6 Murchante 20 5 9 6 19:19 24
7 Pena Azagresa 20 7 3 10 24:33 24
8 CD Baztan 20 4 8 8 19:27 20
9 CD Fontellas 20 6 2 12 18:37 20
10 CD Lourdes 20 4 7 9 18:26 19
11 Bidezarra 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)