Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009

Calasparra FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Lumbreras play Calasparra FC in the Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009. Calasparra FC are favorites here. Recently, CD Lumbreras averaged 0.77 goals scored and 3.4 conceded. Calasparra FC averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. In past meetings, CD Lumbreras won 1, Calasparra FC won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 1, 2010 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for CD Lumbreras and 0.86 for Calasparra FC. This points to a Calasparra FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

CD Lumbreras

15%

Draws

61%

Calasparra FC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calasparra FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

CD Lumbreras picked up more points recently compared to Calasparra FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

CD Lumbreras Clean Sheet 25%

Calasparra FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Lumbreras	Calasparra FC
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	4	10
Draws	3	5
Losses	23	17
Goals Scored	0.77	1.38
Goals Conceded	3.4	1.78

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Calasparra FC vs CD Lumbreras

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Nov 14, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

CD Lumbreras vs Calasparra FC

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

2:7

May 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

CD Lumbreras vs Calasparra FC

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Jan 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Calasparra FC vs CD Lumbreras

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Lumbreras 27 / 100

Calasparra FC 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Lumbreras Calasparra FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calasparra FC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Calasparra FC & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +50%

6.25

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Lumbreras attacking → ← attacking Calasparra FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Lumbreras scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Calasparra FC let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

CD Lumbreras went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Calasparra FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 35

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Caravaca	38	27	6	5	115:26	87
2	Moratalla	38	25	8	5	82:32	83
3	Cartagena La Union	38	23	11	4	76:27	80
4	Yeclano	38	24	8	6	83:37	80
5	Pinatar	38	21	9	8	77:37	72
6	Mazarron CF	38	19	10	9	81:46	67
7	Ciudad Cieza	38	16	14	8	77:45	62
8	Futbol Club Jumilla	38	16	14	8	63:35	62
9	Beniel	38	15	11	12	39:32	56
10	Santomera	38	13	10	15	51:66	49
11	CA Pulpileno	38	13	7	18	50:67	46
12	Deportivo Murcia	38	12	9	17	59:56	45
13	Lorca Deportiva II	38	9	15	14	49:54	42
14	Bala Azul	38	12	4	22	52:86	40
15	Plus Ultra	38	10	10	18	43:64	40
16	Calasparra FC	38	9	13	16	43:60	40
17	CD Lumbreras	38	8	6	24	41:90	30
18	Pozo Estrecho	38	8	6	24	40:88	30
19	Muleno CF	38	4	11	23	33:85	23
20	Ciudad Lorca	38	4	2	32	32:153	9