Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Diaz E.
18'
18'
Rodriguez V.
89'
89'
Rodriguez V.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 game between CD Marino and Gran Tarajal finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Marino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Marino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- CD Marino carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 20%
Gran Tarajal Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Marino | Gran Tarajal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 14 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Gran Tarajal
4:0
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs CD Marino
3:0
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Gran Tarajal
2:0
Oct 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs CD Marino
4:1
Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Gran Tarajal
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Marino Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez V.
2 Goals Assists Leader Diaz E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Gran Tarajal Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Marino 31 / 100
Gran Tarajal 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Marino Gran Tarajal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Marino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Marino scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Gran Tarajal let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Gran Tarajal lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Marino VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Marino
(Home) 26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2 CD Marino
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1 Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2 Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1 CD Marino
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6 Tenerife
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1 Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2 Panaderia
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6 Tenerife
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2 Arucas
26 Apr
CD Marino
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
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Gran Tarajal
(Away) 12 May
Ibarra
4 : 0 Gran Tarajal
05 May
Gran Tarajal
2 : 2 Atletico Victoria
01 May
San Bartolome
2 : 0 Gran Tarajal
28 Apr
CD La Cuadra
2 : 0 Gran Tarajal
24 Apr
Gran Tarajal
0 : 1 CD Buzanada
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12 May
Ibarra
4 : 0 Gran Tarajal
01 May
San Bartolome
2 : 0 Gran Tarajal
28 Apr
CD La Cuadra
2 : 0 Gran Tarajal
13 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Gran Tarajal
27 Mar
Herbania
0 : 0 Gran Tarajal
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife B | 34 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 68:22 | 80 |
| 2 | Lanzarote | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 64:28 | 75 |
| 3 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 62:19 | 74 |
| 4 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 74:24 | 74 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 52:39 | 55 |
| 6 | Arucas | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51:41 | 47 |
| 7 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:38 | 43 |
| 8 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 9 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 41:36 | 41 |
| 10 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:56 | 41 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:53 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 29:42 | 39 |
| 13 | Herbania | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | 38 |
| 14 | Ibarra | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 35:45 | 36 |
| 15 | Atletico Victoria | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:53 | 32 |
| 16 | Teror | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:67 | 26 |
| 17 | Gran Tarajal | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 21:54 | 24 |
| 18 | CD La Cuadra | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 26:72 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
