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CD Marino vs La Muela Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010
CD Marino Logo

CD Marino

0 - 2
FT
La Muela Logo

La Muela

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with La Muela advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CD Marino
20%
Draws
29%
La Muela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Marino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and La Muela come out ahead of CD Marino on wins alone.
  • Model gives CD Marino a 51% chance of winning this.
  • La Muela arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor La Muela, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 20%
La Muela Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Marino La Muela
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 13 11
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.34 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
La Muela vs CD Marino
1:0
May 16, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
CD Marino vs La Muela
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Marino 85 / 100
La Muela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Marino La Muela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Marino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Marino's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

La Muela let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CD Marino remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Marino VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Marino

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Marino
6 : 1
UD Playas de Sotavento
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2
CD Marino
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1
CD Marino
Page 1 of 6

La Muela

(Away)
15 May
La Muela
1 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
08 May
Zamora
3 : 1
La Muela
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1
Leonesa
24 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 2
La Muela
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3
Lemona
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Almeria B 4
Pena Deportiva 3
TBD -
Burgos CF -
Azuqueca 2
Universidad Oviedo 1
TBD -
L Hospitalet -
Coruxo FC 5
Parla 3
TBD -
Oyonesa -
Amorebieta 4
El Palo 2
TBD -
La Roda -
Extremadura UD 1
Novelda CF 1
Ferriolense 0
Mairena 2
Real Avila 3
UM Escobedo 2
TBD -
Mancha -
Santboia 2
Arandina 1
TBD -
Corralejo -
Llanes 4
Valladolid Promesas 3
TBD -
Tudelano -
Arroyo 3
Alfaro 5
UCAM Murcia 1
Cerceda 4
CD Ourense 1
Constancia 2
CD Marino 0
La Muela 3
Getafe B 3
Zaragoza B 1
TBD -
Futbol Club Jumilla -
Iruna 1
Illescas 6
Anguiano 0
Portugalete 2
Ayamonte 6
Cirbonero 4
SD Ejea 1
Alzira 1
CF Talavera 1
Reus FC Reddis 2
Villarreal C 1
Jerez CF 1
Elgoibar 0
Marino De Luanco 3
Marinaleda 1
Las Palmas B 4
Prat 0
Pena 2
Bezana 1
Motril 2
Lorca Deportiva 2
Haro Deportivo 3
TBD -
SD Noja -
CD Tropezon 2
Pajara Playas 4
Trival Valderas 3
Yeclano 5
Semi-finals
Almeria B 2
Burgos CF 1
Azuqueca 2
L Hospitalet 3
Coruxo FC 3
Oyonesa 2
Amorebieta 2
La Roda 3
Extremadura UD 2
Mairena 2
Real Avila 0
Mancha 2
Santboia 1
Corralejo 1
Llanes 2
Tudelano 8
Alfaro 1
Cerceda 3
Constancia 1
La Muela 2
Getafe B 2
Futbol Club Jumilla 1
Illescas 1
Portugalete 2
Ayamonte 0
Alzira 1
Reus FC Reddis 2
Jerez CF 2
Marino De Luanco 3
Las Palmas B 6
Pena 3
Motril 3
Haro Deportivo 3
SD Noja 2
Pajara Playas 1
Yeclano 2
Final
Almeria B 1
L Hospitalet 1
Coruxo FC 3
La Roda 1
Extremadura UD 4
Mancha 2
Santboia 4
Tudelano 3
Cerceda 2
La Muela 3
Getafe B 3
Portugalete 2
Alzira 6
Jerez CF 2
Las Palmas B 2
Pena 3
Haro Deportivo 1
Yeclano 2