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CD Marino vs Real Union Tenerife - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Mendy K.
77' Event
Martin D.
82' Event
Sarr A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between CD Marino and Real Union Tenerife finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Marino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CD Marino
15%
Draws
54%
Real Union Tenerife
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Union Tenerife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Real Union Tenerife carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on CD Marino taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 15%
Real Union Tenerife Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Marino Real Union Tenerife
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 14 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Real Union Tenerife
3:1
Mar 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Real Union Tenerife
0:0
Nov 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Real Union Tenerife vs CD Marino
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendy K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Real Union Tenerife Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Marino 41 / 100
Real Union Tenerife 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Marino Real Union Tenerife

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Marino scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: CD Marino remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Real Union Tenerife's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

CD Marino VS Real Union Tenerife
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Marino

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Marino
6 : 1
UD Playas de Sotavento
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2
CD Marino
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1
CD Marino
Page 1 of 6

Real Union Tenerife

(Away)
02 Oct
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
CD Laguna
26 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
2 : 0
Panaderia
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
12 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
Los Llanos
26 Aug
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
Tenerife B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
2 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
3 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
4 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
5 CD Marino 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
6 Las Palmas C 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 San Miguel 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
8 Panaderia 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
9 Los Llanos 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
11 Villa Santa Brigida 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Tenerife C 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Estrella 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Anaza 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
15 Union Sur Yaiza 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
16 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
17 Villaverde Norte 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)