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CD Marino vs UD Playas de Sotavento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Diaz E.
11' Event
Gonzalez O.
23' Event
Toledo A.

AI Match Summary

CD Marino in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Marino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
CD Marino
20%
Draws
10%
UD Playas de Sotavento
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Marino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Marino lately — more wins on the board than UD Playas de Sotavento.
  • Win probability leans CD Marino's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 19%
UD Playas de Sotavento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Marino UD Playas de Sotavento
Matches Played 33 6
Wins 7 0
Draws 15 1
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.39 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.45 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs UD Playas de Sotavento
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Toledo A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

UD Playas de Sotavento Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Marino 85 / 100
UD Playas de Sotavento 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Marino UD Playas de Sotavento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Marino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Playas de Sotavento's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 6 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

CD Marino's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: CD Marino stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Marino VS UD Playas de Sotavento
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Marino

(Home)
10 Oct
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1
CD Marino
04 Oct
CD Marino
6 : 1
UD Playas de Sotavento
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2
CD Marino
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
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UD Playas de Sotavento

(Away)
10 Oct
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 3
Real Union Tenerife
04 Oct
CD Marino
6 : 1
UD Playas de Sotavento
26 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
2 : 2
Los Llanos
20 Sept
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
UD Playas de Sotavento
12 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 2
Las Palmas C
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union Tenerife 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
2 San Miguel 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Panaderia 5 3 1 1 14:11 10
4 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
5 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
6 Las Palmas C 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
7 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
8 CD Marino 5 2 1 2 13:8 7
9 Tenerife C 5 2 1 2 10:9 7
10 Los Llanos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
11 Estrella 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
13 Villa Santa Brigida 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
14 Union Sur Yaiza 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
15 Anaza 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 CD Laguna 5 0 1 4 6:12 1
17 Villaverde Norte 5 0 1 4 4:12 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 5 0 1 4 3:18 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)