Sport Picks
CD Marino vs Union Sur Yaiza
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between CD Marino and Union Sur Yaiza finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Sur Yaiza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- CD Marino's 1.31 goals per match outpaces what Union Sur Yaiza have produced (0.87).
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Union Sur Yaiza taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 12%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Marino | Union Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 15 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Union Sur Yaiza
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs CD Marino
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Union Sur Yaiza
1:1
Oct 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs CD Marino
2:1
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Union Sur Yaiza
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Marino 11 / 100
Union Sur Yaiza 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Marino Union Sur Yaiza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Sur Yaiza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Marino scored in 69% of their last 32 games.
Union Sur Yaiza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: CD Marino stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Marino VS Union Sur Yaiza
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Marino
(Home) 26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2 CD Marino
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1 Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2 Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1 CD Marino
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6 Tenerife
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1 Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2 Panaderia
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6 Tenerife
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2 Arucas
26 Apr
CD Marino
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 4
Union Sur Yaiza
(Away) 26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
26 Apr
CD Marino
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
11 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1 Union Sur Yaiza
29 Mar
UD San Fernando
3 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
