Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Marino vs Union Viera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Perez F.

AI Match Summary

CD Marino in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Marino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
CD Marino
15%
Draws
42%
Union Viera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Marino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Marino lately — more wins on the board than Union Viera.
  • Win probability leans CD Marino's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 20%
Union Viera Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Marino Union Viera
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 14 8
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.19 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Union Viera
1:0
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs CD Marino
2:2
May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs CD Marino
0:3
Dec 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Union Viera
2:0
May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Union Viera
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Union Viera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Marino 42 / 100
Union Viera 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Marino Union Viera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Viera has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

CD Marino scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Union Viera has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Marino VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Marino

(Home)
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1
CD Marino
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6
Tenerife
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2
Arucas
Page 1 of 7

Union Viera

(Away)
10 May
Union Viera
4 : 6
San Bartolome
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0
Union Viera
26 Apr
Union Viera
2 : 0
CD Buzanada
17 Apr
CD Marino
1 : 0
Union Viera
12 Apr
Union Viera
1 : 3
Mensajero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)