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CD Mojados vs La Virgen

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Fernandez A.
60' Event
Martin G.
66' Event
Nunez A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between CD Mojados and La Virgen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Mojados.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CD Mojados
20%
Draws
47%
La Virgen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Virgen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • La Virgen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • La Virgen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CD Mojados Clean Sheet 19%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mojados La Virgen
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Mojados vs La Virgen
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs CD Mojados
2:0
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs CD Mojados
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Mojados vs La Virgen
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Mojados Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

La Virgen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mojados 20 / 100
La Virgen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mojados La Virgen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Virgen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mojados scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

La Virgen let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

CD Mojados went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Mojados VS La Virgen
0.86 Goals Scored 1.13
1.43 Goals Conceded 2
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mojados

(Home)
10 May
CD Mojados
2 : 1
La Virgen
02 May
Mansilles
0 : 1
CD Mojados
26 Apr
CD Mojados
0 : 4
Atletico Tordesillas
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
CD Mojados
1 : 2
Palencia CA
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La Virgen

(Away)
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1
La Virgen
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1
Calasanz de Soria
06 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 2
La Virgen
29 Aug
Bembibre
0 : 0
La Virgen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)