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Stadium Background

CD Monte vs CD Barquereno

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Gonzalez J.
38' Event
Prada A.
47' Event
Franco S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between CD Monte and CD Barquereno finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Monte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
CD Monte
20%
Draws
32%
CD Barquereno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Monte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Barquereno come out ahead of CD Monte on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
CD Monte Clean Sheet 19%
CD Barquereno Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Monte CD Barquereno
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Monte vs CD Barquereno
4:2
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs CD Monte
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Monte Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Prada A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

CD Barquereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Franco S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Monte 31 / 100
CD Barquereno 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Monte CD Barquereno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Monte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Barquereno conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

CD Monte's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: CD Barquereno registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Barquereno
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Monte

(Home)
10 May
CD Monte
1 : 2
Atletico Mineros
04 May
Vimenor
4 : 1
CD Monte
27 Apr
Cayon CD
2 : 1
CD Monte
16 Apr
CD Monte
4 : 2
CD Barquereno
12 Apr
Bezana
1 : 0
CD Monte
Page 1 of 6

CD Barquereno

(Away)
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
09 May
CD Barquereno
1 : 5
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
03 May
CD Revilla
1 : 1
CD Barquereno
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)