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CD Mosconia vs Astur

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 game between CD Mosconia and Astur finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
CD Mosconia
15%
Draws
28%
Astur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Mosconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Astur haven't matched CD Mosconia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CD Mosconia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
CD Mosconia Clean Sheet 20%
Astur Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mosconia Astur
Matches Played 42 33
Wins 24 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.74 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs CD Mosconia
0:3
Nov 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Astur
1:1
Feb 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Astur
2:2
Sep 13, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs CD Mosconia
4:0
Jan 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs CD Mosconia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mosconia 85 / 100
Astur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mosconia Astur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mosconia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mosconia scored in 81% of their last 42 games.

Astur has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Astur's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Mosconia VS Astur
0.75 Goals Scored 0.33
1 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mosconia

(Home)
13 Sept
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Gijon Industrial
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5
CD Mosconia
29 Aug
CD Mosconia
1 : 4
Real Oviedo B
15 Aug
CD Mosconia
0 : 2
Real Aviles
24 May
Covadonga
2 : 1
CD Mosconia
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Astur

(Away)
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
29 Oct
Astur
1 : 4
Valladolid
09 Oct
Astur
2 : 0
Promesas EDF
15 May
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1
Astur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Condal 38 26 8 4 67:20 86
2 Caudal Deportivo 38 25 9 4 68:18 84
3 Real Oviedo B 38 23 9 6 82:34 78
4 Tuilla 38 22 8 8 67:31 74
5 Covadonga 38 21 7 10 63:39 70
6 Llanes 38 17 13 8 61:51 64
7 Union Club Ceares 38 16 15 7 51:41 63
8 Praviano 38 14 11 13 47:46 53
9 Basico Urraca 38 12 14 12 50:47 50
10 Atletico de Lugones 38 13 10 15 45:49 49
11 CD Mosconia 38 11 14 13 37:45 47
12 Real Aviles B 38 11 13 14 46:53 46
13 Astur 38 11 13 14 39:52 46
14 Gijon Industrial 38 12 10 16 42:50 46
15 CD Roces 38 11 12 15 37:43 45
16 Andes CF 38 12 7 19 44:60 43
17 L Entregu CF 38 9 11 18 34:54 38
18 Lenense 38 8 5 25 38:72 29
19 Universidad Oviedo 38 5 6 27 30:78 21
20 Cudillero 38 2 3 33 10:75 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)