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CD Mosconia vs Praviano

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Rios S.
53' Event
Berlanga M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between CD Mosconia and Praviano finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Mosconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
CD Mosconia
15%
Draws
51%
Praviano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Praviano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • CD Mosconia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
CD Mosconia Clean Sheet 68%
Praviano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mosconia Praviano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.24 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs CD Mosconia
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Praviano
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Praviano
1:0
Sep 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs CD Mosconia
0:0
Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Praviano
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Mosconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rios S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berlanga M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Praviano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mosconia 42 / 100
Praviano 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mosconia Praviano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mosconia's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Praviano conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Praviano has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Mosconia VS Praviano
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mosconia

(Home)
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5
CD Mosconia
29 Aug
CD Mosconia
1 : 4
Real Oviedo B
15 Aug
CD Mosconia
0 : 2
Real Aviles
24 May
Covadonga
2 : 1
CD Mosconia
17 May
CD Mosconia
0 : 0
Covadonga
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Praviano

(Away)
06 Sept
Praviano
1 : 2
Gijon B
10 May
Praviano
1 : 2
L Entregu CF
03 May
CD Colunga
0 : 2
Praviano
25 Apr
Praviano
1 : 0
CD Mosconia
18 Apr
Union Club Ceares
3 : 2
Praviano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)