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CD Mostoles vs Cala Pozuelo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
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Match Events

59' Event
Diaz C.

AI Match Summary

CD Mostoles in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Mostoles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
CD Mostoles
20%
Draws
42%
Cala Pozuelo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cala Pozuelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • CD Mostoles haven't matched Cala Pozuelo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 15%
Cala Pozuelo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mostoles Cala Pozuelo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.36 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.07 1.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Cala Pozuelo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Mostoles Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.54

Cala Pozuelo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.85

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mostoles 30 / 100
Cala Pozuelo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mostoles Cala Pozuelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cala Pozuelo let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

CD Mostoles has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CD Mostoles scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

CD Mostoles VS Cala Pozuelo
1 Goals Scored 1.43
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.14
63% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mostoles

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Mostoles
1 : 1
Leganes B
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3
CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
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Cala Pozuelo

(Away)
10 Oct
Cala Pozuelo
2 : 1
RC Alcobendas
04 Oct
Galapagar
1 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 6 3 3 0 15:6 12
2 Cala Pozuelo 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
3 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
6 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
7 RC Alcobendas 6 2 2 2 12:11 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 6 1 2 3 10:14 5
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)