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CD Mostoles vs Siello

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Linares N.
42' Event
Pacheco E.
43' Event
Iniesta R.

AI Match Summary

Siello in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siello.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
CD Mostoles
6%
Draws
90%
Siello
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Siello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Mostoles lately — more wins on the board than Siello.
  • Siello are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 22%
Siello Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mostoles Siello
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Siello
3:5
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs CD Mostoles
1:2
Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Siello
1:0
Aug 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs CD Mostoles
0:0
Jan 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Siello
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Mostoles Compare

Top Goalscorer Iniesta R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Siello Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacheco E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Linares N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mostoles 10 / 100
Siello 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mostoles Siello

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mostoles's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Siello conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CD Mostoles stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Mostoles VS Siello
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622