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CD Mostoles vs Siello

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Linares N.
42' Event
Pacheco E.
43' Event
Iniesta R.

AI Match Summary

Siello in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siello.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
CD Mostoles
20%
Draws
56%
Siello
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Siello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Mostoles lately — more wins on the board than Siello.
  • Siello are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 12%
Siello Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mostoles Siello
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Siello
3:5
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs CD Mostoles
1:2
Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Siello
1:0
Aug 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs CD Mostoles
0:0
Jan 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Siello
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Mostoles Compare

Top Goalscorer Iniesta R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Siello Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacheco E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Linares N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mostoles 14 / 100
Siello 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mostoles Siello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siello Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mostoles's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Siello conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CD Mostoles stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Mostoles VS Siello
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mostoles

(Home)
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Burgos CF B
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1
CD Mostoles
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
25 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
2 : 0
CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 6

Siello

(Away)
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
26 Apr
Siello
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1
Siello
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)