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CD Ourense vs CD Alcala Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Ourense in this Copa Federacion 2013/2014 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CD Ourense
20%
Draws
44%
CD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • CD Ourense have won more games recently than CD Alcala.
  • CD Ourense are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • CD Ourense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Ourense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
CD Ourense Clean Sheet 20%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ourense CD Alcala
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.28 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2014 Copa Federacion
CD Ourense vs CD Alcala
6:1
Feb 5, 2014 Copa Federacion
CD Alcala vs CD Ourense
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ourense 76 / 100
CD Alcala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ourense CD Alcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Ourense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

CD Ourense scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

CD Alcala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Solid form: CD Ourense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Alcala
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ourense

(Home)
11 May
CD Ourense
3 : 0
SD Logrones
04 May
Racing Santander
1 : 1
CD Ourense
27 Apr
CD Ourense
1 : 1
Leonesa
20 Apr
Zamora
2 : 1
CD Ourense
13 Apr
CD Ourense
0 : 1
Guijuelo
Page 1 of 6

CD Alcala

(Away)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atletico Granadilla -
Toledo -
Alzira 1
Yeclano 2
Novelda CF 1
Almeria B 0
Lorca FC 2
Alcoyano 5
Espanyol B 3
Pena Deportiva 2
Zaragoza B 3
Binissalem 0
UD Almansa 1
Atletico Pinto 7
Guadalajara 7
Tenerife B 5
CD Alcala 1
Atletico San Jose Promesas 0
Extremadura UD 1
El Palo 3
CD Laredo 0
CD Ourense 5
Racing Club Ferrol 1
Marino De Luanco 3
AD San Juan 2
Balmaseda 4
CD Tropezon 6
Arandina 4
Varea 1
Amorebieta 5
Real Union 3
Pena 1
1/8-finals
Toledo 3
Yeclano 3
Novelda CF 3
Alcoyano 2
Espanyol B 3
Zaragoza B 5
Atletico Pinto 1
Guadalajara 3
CD Alcala 1
El Palo 1
CD Ourense 4
Marino De Luanco 0
Balmaseda 4
CD Tropezon 0
Amorebieta 1
Real Union 6
Quarter-finals
Yeclano 1
Novelda CF 4
Zaragoza B 3
Guadalajara 4
CD Alcala 4
CD Ourense 7
Balmaseda 6
Real Union 5
Semi-finals
Novelda CF 1
Guadalajara 2
CD Ourense 3
Balmaseda 2
Final
Guadalajara 2
CD Ourense 3