Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with CD Ourense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marino De Luanco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Marino De Luanco haven't matched CD Ourense's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- CD Ourense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor CD Ourense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
CD Ourense Clean Sheet 20%
Marino De Luanco Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Ourense | Marino De Luanco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 30, 2014 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
CD Ourense vs Marino De Luanco
2:2
Jan 22, 2014 Copa Federacion
Marino De Luanco vs CD Ourense
0:3
Jan 8, 2014 Copa Federacion
CD Ourense vs Marino De Luanco
1:0
Nov 10, 2013 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs CD Ourense
0:0
Feb 17, 2013 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
CD Ourense vs Marino De Luanco
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Ourense 31 / 100
Marino De Luanco 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Ourense Marino De Luanco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Ourense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Ourense found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Marino De Luanco has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
CD Ourense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Marino De Luanco
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Ourense
(Home) 11 May
CD Ourense
3 : 0 SD Logrones
04 May
Racing Santander
1 : 1 CD Ourense
27 Apr
CD Ourense
1 : 1 Leonesa
20 Apr
Zamora
2 : 1 CD Ourense
13 Apr
CD Ourense
0 : 1 Guijuelo
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11 May
CD Ourense
3 : 0 SD Logrones
27 Apr
CD Ourense
1 : 1 Leonesa
13 Apr
CD Ourense
0 : 1 Guijuelo
10 Apr
CD Ourense
2 : 0 Guadalajara
30 Mar
CD Ourense
2 : 2 Marino De Luanco
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Marino De Luanco
(Away) 27 Sept
Marino De Luanco
1 : 2 Basconia
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0 Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2 Ourense CF
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3 Marino De Luanco
11 Aug
Marino De Luanco
6 : 1 Langreo
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19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0 Marino De Luanco
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3 Marino De Luanco
01 Aug
Gijon B
1 : 0 Marino De Luanco
03 May
Numancia
1 : 0 Marino De Luanco
19 Apr
Sarriana
0 : 1 Marino De Luanco
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Atletico Granadilla -
Toledo -
Alzira 1
Yeclano 2
Novelda CF 1
Almeria B 0
Lorca FC 2
Alcoyano 5
Espanyol B 3
Pena Deportiva 2
Zaragoza B 3
Binissalem 0
UD Almansa 1
Atletico Pinto 7
Guadalajara 7
Tenerife B 5
CD Alcala 1
Atletico San Jose Promesas 0
Extremadura UD 1
El Palo 3
CD Laredo 0
CD Ourense 5
Racing Club Ferrol 1
Marino De Luanco 3
AD San Juan 2
Balmaseda 4
CD Tropezon 6
Arandina 4
Varea 1
Amorebieta 5
Real Union 3
Pena 1
1/8-finals
Toledo 3
Yeclano 3
Novelda CF 3
Alcoyano 2
Espanyol B 3
Zaragoza B 5
Atletico Pinto 1
Guadalajara 3
CD Alcala 1
El Palo 1
CD Ourense 4
Marino De Luanco 0
Balmaseda 4
CD Tropezon 0
Amorebieta 1
Real Union 6
Quarter-finals
Yeclano 1
Novelda CF 4
Zaragoza B 3
Guadalajara 4
CD Alcala 4
CD Ourense 7
Balmaseda 6
Real Union 5
Semi-finals
Novelda CF 1
Guadalajara 2
CD Ourense 3
Balmaseda 2
Final
Guadalajara 2
CD Ourense 3
