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CD Pedroneras vs Manchego Ciudad Real Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Gelmini E.
54' Event
Pliego Mantero J. R.
79' Event
Merino J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Manchego Ciudad Real in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manchego Ciudad Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CD Pedroneras
15%
Draws
54%
Manchego Ciudad Real
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manchego Ciudad Real lately — more wins on the board than CD Pedroneras.
  • Model gives CD Pedroneras a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
CD Pedroneras Clean Sheet 20%
Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Pedroneras Manchego Ciudad Real
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 7 19
Draws 11 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.87 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Pedroneras vs Manchego Ciudad Real
0:4
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs CD Pedroneras
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Pedroneras vs Manchego Ciudad Real
0:0
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs CD Pedroneras
1:2
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs CD Pedroneras
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Pedroneras Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Manchego Ciudad Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Gelmini E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pliego Mantero J. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Pedroneras 42 / 100
Manchego Ciudad Real 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Pedroneras Manchego Ciudad Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Pedroneras found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Pedroneras has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Manchego Ciudad Real let in goals in 41% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Pedroneras VS Manchego Ciudad Real
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Pedroneras

(Home)
10 May
CD Pedroneras
1 : 0
Toledo
03 May
Cazalegas
2 : 1
CD Pedroneras
26 Apr
CD Pedroneras
2 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
18 Apr
CD Guadalajara B
1 : 1
CD Pedroneras
12 Apr
CD Pedroneras
0 : 1
Marchamalo
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Manchego Ciudad Real

(Away)
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0
Villacanas
05 Sept
La Solana
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
06 Jun
Albacete B
3 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)