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CD Pedroneras vs Sonseca

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Penalver D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 game between CD Pedroneras and Sonseca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Pedroneras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
CD Pedroneras
15%
Draws
39%
Sonseca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Pedroneras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Pedroneras come out ahead of Sonseca on wins alone.
  • CD Pedroneras are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
CD Pedroneras Clean Sheet 68%
Sonseca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Pedroneras Sonseca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0.9 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Pedroneras vs Sonseca
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sonseca vs CD Pedroneras
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Pedroneras Compare

Top Goalscorer Penalver D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sonseca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Pedroneras 95 / 100
Sonseca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Pedroneras Sonseca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Pedroneras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonseca let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: CD Pedroneras scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CD Pedroneras remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Pedroneras VS Sonseca
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Pedroneras

(Home)
10 May
CD Pedroneras
1 : 0
Toledo
03 May
Cazalegas
2 : 1
CD Pedroneras
26 Apr
CD Pedroneras
2 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
18 Apr
CD Guadalajara B
1 : 1
CD Pedroneras
12 Apr
CD Pedroneras
0 : 1
Marchamalo
Page 1 of 6

Sonseca

(Away)
10 May
Sonseca
1 : 0
Marchamalo
03 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 2
Sonseca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Sonseca
1 : 2
Villarrobledo
11 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 1
Sonseca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)