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CD Puertollano vs CF Talavera

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Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015 game between CD Puertollano and CF Talavera finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Talavera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
CD Puertollano
35%
Draws
13%
CF Talavera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Puertollano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Puertollano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CD Puertollano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CD Puertollano Clean Sheet 20%
CF Talavera Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Puertollano CF Talavera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.4 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CF Talavera vs CD Puertollano
1:0
Sep 28, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Puertollano vs CF Talavera
0:3
Feb 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CF Talavera vs CD Puertollano
0:1
Sep 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Puertollano vs CF Talavera
4:0
Feb 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Puertollano vs CF Talavera
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Puertollano 85 / 100
CF Talavera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Puertollano CF Talavera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Puertollano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Puertollano scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: CF Talavera conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Puertollano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CF Talavera
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Puertollano

(Home)
17 May
CD Puertollano
5 : 0
Daimiel
10 May
Mora CF
3 : 0
CD Puertollano
03 May
CD Puertollano
0 : 0
Madridejos
26 Apr
Villarrubia
1 : 1
CD Puertollano
19 Apr
CD Puertollano
2 : 1
Toledo 2
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CF Talavera

(Away)
20 Sept
Getafe B
1 : 1
CF Talavera
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0
Real Madrid C
09 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 2
Navalcarnero
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0
CF Talavera
19 Aug
CF Talavera
0 : 1
Getafe B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Talavera 38 25 9 4 85:27 84
2 UD Almansa 38 24 7 7 62:32 79
3 Quintanar del Rey 38 21 12 5 48:19 75
4 Manzanares 38 21 10 7 59:24 73
5 Madridejos 38 20 12 6 43:21 72
6 Villarrubia 38 17 14 7 50:35 65
7 Marchamalo 38 17 8 13 55:51 59
8 Mora CF 38 16 9 13 51:39 57
9 Villarrobledo 38 15 9 14 58:49 54
10 CD Puertollano 38 14 11 13 54:46 53
11 CD Pedroneras 38 14 9 15 45:37 51
12 Toledo 2 38 16 2 20 47:55 50
13 Atletico Ibanes 38 12 12 14 42:40 48
14 Albacete B 38 13 8 17 59:56 47
15 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 13 7 18 47:57 46
16 Almagro 38 11 11 16 43:44 44
17 La Gineta 38 11 10 17 39:53 43
18 Daimiel 38 11 7 20 39:67 40
19 Alcazar 38 2 5 31 21:117 11
20 Hellin Deportivo 38 0 2 36 3:81 2
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)