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CD Puertollano vs Illescas

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Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014 game between CD Puertollano and Illescas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
CD Puertollano
35%
Draws
28%
Illescas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Puertollano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Puertollano come out ahead of Illescas on wins alone.
  • CD Puertollano are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
CD Puertollano Clean Sheet 20%
Illescas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Puertollano Illescas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.4 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Puertollano vs Illescas
1:1
Oct 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs CD Puertollano
1:3
Mar 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Puertollano vs Illescas
0:0
Oct 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs CD Puertollano
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Puertollano 49 / 100
Illescas 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Puertollano Illescas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Puertollano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Puertollano found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Illescas let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CD Puertollano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Illescas
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Puertollano

(Home)
17 May
CD Puertollano
5 : 0
Daimiel
10 May
Mora CF
3 : 0
CD Puertollano
03 May
CD Puertollano
0 : 0
Madridejos
26 Apr
Villarrubia
1 : 1
CD Puertollano
19 Apr
CD Puertollano
2 : 1
Toledo 2
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Illescas

(Away)
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2
Illescas
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
18 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Puertollano 38 31 5 2 88:18 98
2 Socuellamos 38 25 8 5 72:26 83
3 Villarrobledo 38 22 10 6 80:32 76
4 UD Almansa 38 20 12 6 53:36 72
5 CF Talavera 38 21 9 8 72:34 72
6 Villarrubia 38 16 10 12 48:56 58
7 CD Pedroneras 38 14 12 12 42:50 54
8 La Gineta 38 12 12 14 51:55 48
9 Atletico Ibanes 38 11 14 13 44:50 47
10 Quintanar del Rey 38 12 11 15 44:56 47
11 Manzanares 38 11 12 15 41:46 45
12 Albacete B 38 10 13 15 45:58 43
13 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 10 13 15 43:54 43
14 Hellin Deportivo 38 10 13 15 35:40 43
15 Alcazar 38 11 8 19 46:56 41
16 Mora CF 38 12 4 22 37:63 40
17 Madridejos 38 8 14 16 30:41 38
18 Illescas 38 8 12 18 39:59 36
19 Azuqueca 38 9 9 20 36:53 36
20 EF Zona 5 Albacete 38 2 9 27 34:97 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)