Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Rabo Peixe vs Alverca B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024
Sun, Mar 24, 2024
0 - 3
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Andrade D.
(Penalty)
71' Event
Aires P.

AI Match Summary

CD Rabo Peixe host Alverca B in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024. Form suggests where the edge lies here. CD Rabo Peixe have averaged 1.06 scored and 1.56 conceded recently, against Alverca B's 1.89 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, CD Rabo Peixe have won 0 to Alverca B's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 24, 2024, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.29 - 1.68) back Alverca B to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CD Rabo Peixe
15%
Draws
57%
Alverca B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alverca B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Rabo Peixe haven't matched Alverca B's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Alverca B a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
CD Rabo Peixe Clean Sheet 13%
Alverca B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Rabo Peixe Alverca B
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 9 21
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.06 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
CD Rabo Peixe vs Alverca B
0:3
Dec 10, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alverca B vs CD Rabo Peixe
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Rabo Peixe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Alverca B Compare

Top Goalscorer Aires P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Rabo Peixe 10 / 100
Alverca B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Rabo Peixe Alverca B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alverca B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alverca B has conceded goals in 84% of their last 38 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Alverca B has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

CD Rabo Peixe scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alverca B
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Rabo Peixe

(Home)
07 Sept
Sacavenense
7 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
21 Sept
Anadia
3 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
CD Rabo Peixe
0 : 3
Alverca B
17 Mar
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
CD Rabo Peixe
Page 1 of 7

Alverca B

(Away)
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
Alverca B
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
12 Apr
Serpa
0 : 1
Alverca B
04 Apr
Alverca B
0 : 1
GD Alcochetense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarem 26 17 4 5 52:23 55
2 SC Lusitania 26 15 6 5 40:22 51
3 Marinhense 26 15 5 6 43:26 50
4 Alverca B 26 11 6 9 34:19 39
5 Uniao de Coimbra 26 11 5 10 30:26 38
6 SB Castelo Branco 26 10 7 9 34:29 37
7 GD Peniche 26 11 4 11 28:39 37
8 Sertanense 26 10 7 9 26:25 37
9 Mortagua FC 26 10 7 9 30:36 37
10 GD Fontinhas 26 9 5 12 23:32 32
11 CD Rabo Peixe 26 8 6 12 30:34 28
12 Vitoria Sernache 26 5 10 11 17:30 25
13 CD Gouveia 26 5 6 15 35:48 21
14 Tomar 26 5 2 19 20:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)