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CD Ronda vs Velez

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2015/2016
CD Ronda Logo

CD Ronda

1 - 2
FT
Velez Logo

Velez

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Velez in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Velez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CD Ronda
15%
Draws
0%
Velez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Ronda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Ronda haven't matched Velez's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on CD Ronda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CD Ronda Clean Sheet 20%
Velez Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ronda Velez
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 5 10
Draws 0 11
Losses 25 17
Goals Scored 0.87 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Ronda vs Velez
1:2
Nov 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs CD Ronda
4:0
Feb 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Ronda vs Velez
3:0
Sep 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs CD Ronda
3:1
Apr 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs CD Ronda
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ronda 85 / 100
Velez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ronda Velez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Ronda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velez lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Velez let in goals in 79% of their last 38 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

CD Ronda's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Velez
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ronda

(Home)
15 May
CD Ronda
4 : 3
UD San Pedro
08 May
Mancha
5 : 1
CD Ronda
30 Apr
CD Ronda
2 : 6
Malaga B
24 Apr
Espanol Alquian
0 : 3
CD Ronda
17 Apr
CD Ronda
1 : 2
Velez
Page 1 of 6

Velez

(Away)
05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0
Velez
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6
Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Sevilla B
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Velez
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 38 27 5 6 73:25 86
2 Malaga B 38 26 8 4 96:34 86
3 Loja 38 24 9 5 68:26 81
4 Ejido 38 24 7 7 77:32 79
5 El Palo 38 21 13 4 69:24 76
6 Antequera 38 21 8 9 67:33 71
7 Guadix 38 22 4 12 68:46 70
8 Velez 38 18 11 9 55:33 65
9 Huetor Tajar 38 16 11 11 60:37 59
10 Martos 38 17 5 16 58:55 56
11 UD San Pedro 38 14 6 18 55:67 48
12 Los Villares 38 11 11 16 46:57 44
13 Rincon 38 10 11 17 48:59 41
14 Alhaurin 38 12 4 22 42:67 40
15 Atarfe Industrial 38 9 9 20 45:71 36
16 Maracena 38 8 12 18 48:69 36
17 River Melilla 38 9 5 24 44:88 32
18 Comarca Del Marmol 38 7 10 21 30:62 31
19 CD Ronda 38 8 0 30 32:97 24
20 Espanol Alquian 38 1 1 36 11:110 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)