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CD Santa Marta vs Extremadura UD

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 game between CD Santa Marta and Extremadura UD finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CD Santa Marta
15%
Draws
0%
Extremadura UD
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Santa Marta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Santa Marta come out ahead of Extremadura UD on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on CD Santa Marta taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CD Santa Marta Clean Sheet 20%
Extremadura UD Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Santa Marta Extremadura UD
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 2
Losses 17 28
Goals Scored 0.77 1
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs Extremadura UD
1:1
Dec 19, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Extremadura UD vs CD Santa Marta
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Santa Marta 49 / 100
Extremadura UD 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Santa Marta Extremadura UD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Santa Marta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Extremadura UD let in goals in 92% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Extremadura UD lost 5 of their last 5 games.

CD Santa Marta's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Extremadura UD
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Santa Marta

(Home)
15 May
CD Santa Marta
0 : 2
Sp. Villanueva
07 May
Moralo
2 : 1
CD Santa Marta
30 Apr
CD Santa Marta
1 : 0
Sanvicenteno
21 Apr
UD Badajoz
4 : 0
CD Santa Marta
17 Apr
CD Santa Marta
2 : 4
Valdelacalzada
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Extremadura UD

(Away)
29 May
Racing Santander
2 : 0
Extremadura UD
22 May
Extremadura UD
0 : 2
Real Union
15 May
Zamora
2 : 0
Extremadura UD
07 May
Extremadura UD
0 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
01 May
SD Logrones
2 : 0
Extremadura UD
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Badajoz 38 32 5 1 109:19 101
2 Jerez CF 38 27 8 3 77:14 89
3 Extremadura UD 38 24 7 7 77:26 79
4 Arroyo 38 22 8 8 72:43 74
5 Merida UD 38 21 9 8 55:28 72
6 Sp. Villanueva 38 18 13 7 71:50 67
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 16 9 13 54:49 57
8 Don Benito 38 15 8 15 48:50 53
9 Sanvicenteno 38 13 12 13 47:49 51
10 Imperio Merida 38 11 14 13 59:56 47
11 Olivenza CP 38 12 11 15 34:45 47
12 Miajadas 38 12 8 18 28:42 44
13 UD Badajoz 38 12 7 19 54:68 43
14 Moralo 38 12 7 19 40:52 43
15 Valdelacalzada 38 9 13 16 35:54 40
16 CD Coria 38 8 10 20 50:76 34
17 CD Santa Marta 38 8 7 23 43:70 31
18 Montehermoso 38 8 6 24 31:79 30
19 La Estrella 38 6 9 23 27:84 27
20 SP Villafranca 38 6 5 27 30:87 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)