Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Siete Villas vs Barreda Balompie

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Siete Villas play Barreda Balompie in the Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Siete Villas averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Barreda Balompie averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, CD Siete Villas won 2, Barreda Balompie won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 4, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for CD Siete Villas and 1.50 for Barreda Balompie. This points to a Barreda Balompie double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
CD Siete Villas
19%
Draws
44%
Barreda Balompie
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Barreda Balompie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Siete Villas picked up more points recently compared to Barreda Balompie.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
CD Siete Villas Clean Sheet 16%
Barreda Balompie Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Siete Villas Barreda Balompie
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs CD Siete Villas
1:0
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Siete Villas vs Barreda Balompie
1:5
Feb 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Siete Villas vs Barreda Balompie
3:2
Oct 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs CD Siete Villas
2:0
Feb 16, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Siete Villas vs Barreda Balompie
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Siete Villas Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Barreda Balompie Compare

Top Goalscorer Revilla A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Siete Villas 37 / 100
Barreda Balompie 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Siete Villas Barreda Balompie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Barreda Balompie or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Siete Villas attacking → ← attacking Barreda Balompie

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Siete Villas scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Barreda Balompie let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

CD Siete Villas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Barreda Balompie lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 30
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1UD Samano342010452:2270
2CD Tropezon34207758:3067
3Atletico Albericia34197864:3964
4Cayon CD341951061:4162
5Castro341611745:2659
6Vimenor341761163:4257
7Bezana341591046:4154
8Torina341481249:4450
9CD Barquereno3413101160:5949
10Guarnizo341115844:3748
11SD Revilla341261646:5342
12CD Colindres34991636:5336
13Gama34991634:5636
14Atletico Mineros34981733:5835
15Barreda Balompie348101649:6534
16Naval Reinosa34961940:5933
17CD Siete Villas34772029:5328
18CD Monte34552433:6420