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CD Son Cladera vs Collerense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Abolafio A.
69'
Castaner R.
75' Event
Samudio N.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between CD Son Cladera and Collerense finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Son Cladera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
CD Son Cladera
15%
Draws
39%
Collerense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Son Cladera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • CD Son Cladera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
CD Son Cladera Clean Sheet 10%
Collerense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Son Cladera Collerense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.27 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Son Cladera vs Collerense
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs CD Son Cladera
1:1
Mar 1, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Son Cladera vs Collerense
0:1
Oct 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs CD Son Cladera
1:0
Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Son Cladera vs Collerense
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Son Cladera Compare

Top Goalscorer Samudio N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Carballa Perez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Collerense Compare

Top Goalscorer Abolafio A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Huguet Capo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Son Cladera 34 / 100
Collerense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Son Cladera Collerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Collerense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Collerense conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

CD Son Cladera scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Son Cladera stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Son Cladera VS Collerense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Son Cladera

(Home)
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Pena Deportiva
7 : 0
CD Son Cladera
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2
CD Son Cladera
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Collerense

(Away)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)