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CD Tarancon vs Illescas

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
CD Tarancon Logo

CD Tarancon

2 - 1
FT
Illescas Logo

Illescas

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Fizesan M.
36' Event
Fizesan M.
85' Event
Moreno D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 game between CD Tarancon and Illescas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Tarancon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
CD Tarancon
35%
Draws
39%
Illescas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Illescas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • CD Tarancon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 68%
Illescas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tarancon Illescas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 19 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.53 0.52
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Illescas
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Illescas
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs CD Tarancon
0:2
Feb 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Illescas
1:1
Oct 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs CD Tarancon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Tarancon Compare

Top Goalscorer Fizesan M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Illescas Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tarancon 42 / 100
Illescas 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tarancon Illescas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Tarancon scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Illescas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: CD Tarancon remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Tarancon VS Illescas
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Tarancon

(Home)
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
CD Villa
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
23 May
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
Page 1 of 6

Illescas

(Away)
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
18 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
14 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1
CF Talavera
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)