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CD Tarancon vs Noblejas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Valverde M.
(Penalty)
46' Event
Valverde M.
73' Event
Gomez Martinez C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 game between CD Tarancon and Noblejas finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Tarancon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CD Tarancon
20%
Draws
47%
Noblejas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Noblejas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • CD Tarancon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 20%
Noblejas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tarancon Noblejas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Noblejas
3:1
Nov 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Noblejas vs CD Tarancon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Tarancon Compare

Top Goalscorer Valverde M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Noblejas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez Martinez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tarancon 31 / 100
Noblejas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tarancon Noblejas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tarancon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noblejas let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

CD Tarancon scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: CD Tarancon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Tarancon VS Noblejas
1.63 Goals Scored 1.33
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Tarancon

(Home)
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6
CD Tarancon
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
CD Villa
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
Page 1 of 6

Noblejas

(Away)
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0
Noblejas
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
19 Aug
Pozuelo de Alarcon
0 : 2
Noblejas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quintanar del Rey 34 17 13 4 31:15 64
2 Albacete B 34 17 12 5 61:31 63
3 Toledo 34 18 8 8 47:17 62
4 Villacanas 34 18 8 8 39:29 62
5 Socuellamos 34 16 9 9 47:24 57
6 Huracan de Balazote 34 14 14 6 41:28 56
7 CD Tarancon 34 15 10 9 41:31 55
8 Cazalegas 34 14 7 13 47:44 49
9 Puertollano C.F. 34 11 15 8 39:39 48
10 Villarrubia 34 12 11 11 40:38 47
11 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 12 9 13 45:37 45
12 CD Pedroneras 34 11 10 13 37:43 43
13 Marchamalo 34 12 5 17 50:47 41
14 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:49 41
15 Villarrobledo 34 10 9 15 31:49 36
16 Valdepenas 34 3 13 18 21:48 22
17 Noblejas 34 3 9 22 30:69 18
18 Manzanares 34 2 9 23 23:72 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 (Play Offs)