Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Covadonga in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Covadonga.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Covadonga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Covadonga have won more games recently than CD Tineo.
- Model gives Covadonga a 43% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Covadonga have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CD Tineo Clean Sheet 10%
Covadonga Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Tineo | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 19 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 2.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 2.37 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs CD Tineo
2:0
Sep 25, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Tineo vs Covadonga
1:3
May 1, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Tineo vs Covadonga
0:3
Dec 13, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs CD Tineo
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Tineo 10 / 100
Covadonga 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Tineo Covadonga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Covadonga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Tineo scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
CD Tineo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Covadonga let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Covadonga
0 Goals Scored 3.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Tineo
(Home) 14 May
CD Mosconia
0 : 3 CD Tineo
07 May
CD Tineo
1 : 2 Marino De Luanco
30 Apr
CD Tineo
2 : 4 Praviano
23 Apr
Llanera
1 : 1 CD Tineo
16 Apr
CD Tineo
1 : 0 Lenense
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07 May
CD Tineo
1 : 2 Marino De Luanco
30 Apr
CD Tineo
2 : 4 Praviano
16 Apr
CD Tineo
1 : 0 Lenense
02 Apr
CD Tineo
0 : 0 Basico Urraca
18 Mar
CD Tineo
2 : 1 Union Club Ceares
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Covadonga
(Away) 26 Sept
CD Colunga
1 : 2 Covadonga
20 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0 Caudal Deportivo
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2 Covadonga
06 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0 Aviles Stadium
29 Aug
Gijon Industrial
0 : 0 Covadonga
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26 Sept
CD Colunga
1 : 2 Covadonga
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2 Covadonga
29 Aug
Gijon Industrial
0 : 0 Covadonga
05 Aug
Real Oviedo B
6 : 0 Covadonga
31 May
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1 Covadonga
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caudal Deportivo | 38 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 86:12 | 98 |
| 2 | Langreo | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 96:25 | 90 |
| 3 | Real Aviles | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 77:18 | 89 |
| 4 | Marino De Luanco | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 55:23 | 68 |
| 5 | Tuilla | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 66:39 | 67 |
| 6 | CD Colunga | 38 | 21 | 3 | 14 | 60:54 | 66 |
| 7 | Real Oviedo B | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 63:42 | 62 |
| 8 | Condal | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50:47 | 60 |
| 9 | Llanes | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:47 | 57 |
| 10 | Union Club Ceares | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 42:60 | 45 |
| 11 | Covadonga | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 35:51 | 45 |
| 12 | Atletico de Lugones | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 33:55 | 41 |
| 13 | CD Mosconia | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 36:57 | 40 |
| 14 | Praviano | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 39:65 | 40 |
| 15 | CD Tineo | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 40:63 | 39 |
| 16 | Club Siero | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | 38 |
| 17 | Basico Urraca | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34:47 | 36 |
| 18 | Gijon Industrial | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 34:68 | 31 |
| 19 | Astur | 38 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 34:92 | 24 |
| 20 | CD Roces | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 19:62 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
