Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Alhaurino

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Torreperogil play CD Alhaurino in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Torreperogil averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. CD Alhaurino averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, CD Torreperogil won 2, CD Alhaurino won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for CD Torreperogil and 0.94 for CD Alhaurino. This points to a CD Alhaurino double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

CD Torreperogil

22%

Draws

42%

CD Alhaurino

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: CD Alhaurino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

CD Torreperogil picked up more points recently compared to CD Alhaurino.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

CD Torreperogil Clean Sheet 24%

CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Torreperogil	CD Alhaurino
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	10
Draws	5	9
Losses	16	11
Goals Scored	0.77	1.27
Goals Conceded	1.3	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Torreperogil vs CD Alhaurino

Possession: 60% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Alhaurino vs CD Torreperogil

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Jan 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Torreperogil vs CD Alhaurino

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

2:0

Sep 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Alhaurino vs CD Torreperogil

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Apr 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Torreperogil vs CD Alhaurino

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Torreperogil Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Aviles M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

CD Alhaurino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Torreperogil 37 / 100

CD Alhaurino 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Torreperogil CD Alhaurino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD Alhaurino or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.5%

3.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Torreperogil attacking → ← attacking CD Alhaurino

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Torreperogil scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

CD Alhaurino let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CD Torreperogil went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CD Alhaurino lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 39

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mijas Las Lagunas	34	19	9	6	46:24	66
2	Motril	34	18	11	5	55:29	65
3	Torre del Mar	34	14	13	7	37:26	55
4	Arenas Armilla	34	15	9	10	38:29	54
5	Churriana de la Vega	34	14	10	10	32:40	52
6	Marbelli	34	14	9	11	36:28	51
7	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	34	13	11	10	39:38	50
8	UD San Pedro	34	13	10	11	39:37	49
9	Atletico de Porcuna	34	14	4	16	41:39	46
10	Huetor Vega	34	12	9	13	43:42	45
11	Granada CF B	34	10	14	10	49:47	44
12	CD Alhaurino	34	11	10	13	41:41	43
13	Melilla B	34	9	12	13	30:32	39
14	Mancha	34	9	10	15	30:38	37
15	Huetor Tajar	34	9	10	15	40:44	37
16	Martos	34	9	10	15	32:48	37
17	CD Torreperogil	34	9	6	19	24:45	33
18	El Palo	34	6	9	19	28:53	27