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CD Torreperogil vs Rincon

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Gomez A.

AI Match Summary

CD Torreperogil in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Torreperogil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
CD Torreperogil
15%
Draws
51%
Rincon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rincon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Torreperogil lately — more wins on the board than Rincon.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors CD Torreperogil here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
CD Torreperogil Clean Sheet 16%
Rincon Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Torreperogil Rincon
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.97 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs Rincon
1:0
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs CD Torreperogil
0:3
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs CD Torreperogil
1:0
Nov 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs Rincon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Torreperogil Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Rincon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Torreperogil 31 / 100
Rincon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Torreperogil Rincon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rincon has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

CD Torreperogil's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

CD Torreperogil went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Torreperogil VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Torreperogil

(Home)
10 May
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2
El Palo
26 Apr
UD San Pedro
2 : 0
CD Torreperogil
19 Apr
CD Torreperogil
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
12 Apr
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
3 : 0
CD Torreperogil
Page 1 of 8

Rincon

(Away)
17 Aug
Rincon
0 : 1
El Palo
10 May
Rincon
1 : 0
Motril
05 May
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Rincon
01 May
Rincon
0 : 3
Huetor Tajar
27 Apr
Arenas Armilla
1 : 2
Rincon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 34 23 7 4 65:23 76
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 66:28 73
3 Malaga B 34 19 10 5 54:20 67
4 Almeria B 34 19 10 5 75:28 67
5 Torre del Mar 34 18 8 8 44:30 62
6 Motril 34 13 11 10 36:23 50
7 Arenas Armilla 34 14 6 14 34:39 48
8 CP Almeria 34 11 13 10 39:37 46
9 Huetor Vega 34 13 7 14 40:41 46
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 11 10 13 46:46 43
11 Mancha 34 9 12 13 41:43 39
12 CD Torreperogil 34 9 11 14 32:41 38
13 Ejido 34 7 16 11 30:41 37
14 Huetor Tajar 34 7 14 13 25:39 35
15 Malaga Juniors 34 7 12 15 27:47 33
16 Maracena 34 6 13 15 29:50 31
17 Rincon 34 6 10 18 30:54 28
18 Atletico Melilla 34 0 7 27 18:101 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 (Play Offs)