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CD Tropezon vs CA Deva

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009 game between CD Tropezon and CA Deva finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Tropezon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CD Tropezon
15%
Draws
0%
CA Deva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Tropezon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Tropezon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CD Tropezon a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CD Tropezon have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 20%
CA Deva Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tropezon CA Deva
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 28 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.67 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.73 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs CD Tropezon
0:1
Nov 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs CA Deva
6:1
May 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs CA Deva
3:1
Jan 6, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs CD Tropezon
0:1
Mar 9, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs CA Deva
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tropezon 85 / 100
CA Deva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tropezon CA Deva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tropezon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CA Deva conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: CA Deva registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

CD Tropezon scored in 78% of their last 45 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

CD Tropezon VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Tropezon

(Home)
19 Sept
Solares
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
Page 1 of 9

CA Deva

(Away)
09 May
Bezana
3 : 0
CA Deva
01 May
CA Deva
0 : 5
SD Noja
24 Apr
Solares
5 : 1
CA Deva
17 Apr
Selaya
2 : 1
CA Deva
11 Apr
CA Deva
0 : 1
SD Reocin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 32 5 1 103:15 101
2 SD Noja 38 25 11 2 85:19 86
3 CD Tropezon 38 24 10 4 56:16 82
4 UM Escobedo 38 21 12 5 74:33 75
5 SD Reocin 38 20 7 11 76:38 67
6 Bezana 38 18 12 8 56:34 66
7 CD Siete Villas 38 14 12 12 51:55 54
8 Castro 38 15 8 15 46:41 53
9 CD Laredo 38 13 10 15 42:51 49
10 Atletico Albericia 38 13 10 15 36:48 49
11 Barreda Balompie 38 14 7 17 42:59 49
12 CA Deva 38 13 9 16 55:48 48
13 Ribamontan al Mar 38 13 7 18 51:56 46
14 Cayon CD 38 10 10 18 47:72 40
15 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 11 6 21 38:65 39
16 Solares 38 9 12 17 36:53 39
17 Vimenor 38 9 11 18 38:56 38
18 Santona 38 9 9 20 41:66 36
19 Guarnizo 38 5 11 22 20:57 26
20 Velarde 38 1 3 34 15:126 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)