Sport Picks
CD Tropezon vs Velarde Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 
Match Events
51'
51'
Sazatronil M.
86'
86'
Macias C.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 game between CD Tropezon and Velarde finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Tropezon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- CD Tropezon carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans CD Tropezon's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 20%
Velarde Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Tropezon | Velarde |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 28 |
| Wins | 23 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.21 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Velarde
1:1
Sep 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs CD Tropezon
1:1
Feb 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Velarde
3:0
Sep 23, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs CD Tropezon
0:3
Apr 1, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs CD Tropezon
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Tropezon Compare
Top Goalscorer Sazatronil M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6
Velarde Compare
Top Goalscorer Macias C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Tropezon 85 / 100
Velarde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Tropezon Velarde
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Tropezon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Velarde has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
CD Tropezon found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (36 games).
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: CD Tropezon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Tropezon VS Velarde
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.17
50% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Tropezon
(Home) 27 Sept
CD Tropezon
2 : 0 CD Revilla
19 Sept
Solares
1 : 2 CD Tropezon
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Selaya
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2 CD Tropezon
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0 CD Tropezon
Page 1 of 8
27 Sept
CD Tropezon
2 : 0 CD Revilla
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Selaya
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0 Arnedo
31 May
CD Tropezon
0 : 0 CD Laredo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
Page 1 of 4
Velarde
(Away) 26 Sept
Guarnizo
3 : 1 Velarde
19 Sept
Velarde
1 : 4 Vimenor
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1 Velarde
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0 Naval Reinosa
11 May
Velarde
0 : 3 Vimenor
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Guarnizo
3 : 1 Velarde
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1 Velarde
05 May
Torina
0 : 0 Velarde
27 Apr
Atletico Mineros
4 : 3 Velarde
13 Apr
CD Revilla
4 : 0 Velarde
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UM Escobedo | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 58:30 | 68 |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 49:22 | 61 |
| 3 | Torina | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 45:37 | 60 |
| 4 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54:37 | 58 |
| 5 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 43:32 | 57 |
| 6 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 49:38 | 56 |
| 7 | Bezana | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 49:42 | 56 |
| 8 | Castro | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 41:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Guarnizo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 37:31 | 48 |
| 10 | CD Revilla | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:52 | 44 |
| 11 | Naval Reinosa | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 39:37 | 43 |
| 12 | CD Colindres | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 13 | CD Siete Villas | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 50:48 | 42 |
| 14 | UD Samano | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 15 | Atletico Mineros | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 35:63 | 33 |
| 16 | Solares | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33:54 | 33 |
| 17 | UC Cartes | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 32:50 | 31 |
| 18 | Velarde | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 29:61 | 20 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
