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CD Utrera vs AD Cartaya

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025
CD Utrera Logo

CD Utrera

2 - 0
FT
AD Cartaya Logo

AD Cartaya

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Fran Palma
22'
Rovira A.
49' Event
Trivino B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 game between CD Utrera and AD Cartaya finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Utrera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
CD Utrera
15%
Draws
17%
AD Cartaya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Utrera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • CD Utrera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CD Utrera's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CD Utrera Clean Sheet 68%
AD Cartaya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Utrera AD Cartaya
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.35 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs CD Utrera
0:2
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs AD Cartaya
2:0
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs CD Utrera
1:0
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs AD Cartaya
2:1
Apr 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs AD Cartaya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Utrera Compare

Top Goalscorer Trivino B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez Marquez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

AD Cartaya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Utrera 95 / 100
AD Cartaya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Utrera AD Cartaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Utrera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Utrera's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

AD Cartaya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

CD Utrera went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Utrera VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Utrera

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Utrera
1 : 0
Cadiz B
27 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 1
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
20 Sept
Pozoblanco
1 : 2
CD Utrera
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0
Conil
06 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 0
CD Utrera
Page 1 of 7

AD Cartaya

(Away)
11 May
AD Cartaya
1 : 0
AD Ceuta B
04 May
Conil
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
01 May
AD Cartaya
0 : 2
CD Utrera
27 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
11 Apr
AD Cartaya
2 : 3
Bollullos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puente Genil 34 20 11 3 63:24 71
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 21 5 8 49:20 68
3 CD Utrera 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
4 Atletico Central 34 17 8 9 46:27 59
5 Tomares UD 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Bollullos 34 16 6 12 41:34 54
7 Pozoblanco 34 14 10 10 41:36 52
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 14 8 12 41:35 50
9 San Roque de Lepe 34 12 10 12 29:31 46
10 AD Ceuta B 34 11 13 10 41:38 46
11 Cordoba B 34 10 15 9 34:36 45
12 Conil 34 12 8 14 41:40 44
13 Sevilla C 34 10 11 13 32:40 41
14 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 34:48 36
15 AD Cartaya 34 8 11 15 31:53 35
16 La Palma CF 34 6 11 17 33:57 29
17 Atletico Espeleno 34 5 10 19 30:57 25
18 Inter Sevilla 34 3 7 24 25:70 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 (Play Offs)